Houston Texans - Arizona Cardinals: our prediction

The Texans are clearly superior: 60% wins vs. 10% for Arizona, 80% wins as favorite vs. 40%, and solid defense (Arizona loses 90% of its games). The home advantage and statistical gap justify very high confidence.

Arizona's offense is very weak (only 20% wins as underdog, 50% goals in 2nd half). Houston, although favored, has a patchy offense in the 2nd half (20% goals). Houston's defensive dynamic (only 40% losses) and Arizona's offensive difficulties suggest a game under the points line.