Senegal - DR Congo: our prediction

Senegal shows significantly better form with a 60% win rate in the last 10 matches, compared to only 30% for DR Congo. The home team is also more effective as a favorite (44.4% wins). No information on major injuries is available, strengthening the likelihood of a Senegalese home victory.

First-half offensive statistics are mixed. Senegal scores little in the first period (only 20% success rate for 'more points'), while DR Congo is more effective (50%). However, as this is a crucial qualification match, a cautious start is likely. The lack of data on a precise point total makes this bet more speculative, but defensive trends and the high stakes support an under scenario.