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Argentina - Colombia: our prediction

11/06/2025•02:00

Argentina

1:1

(0:1)

Finished

Colombia

Argentina vs Colombia Preview — World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL

Argentina faces Colombia in World Cup qualifiers. Argentina, home favorite (60% recent wins), boasts solid defense (6 clean sheets/10). Colombia, less effective away, demonstrates capable attack (50% BTTS). No major absences reported.

Our Argentina vs Colombia predictions

Under 3.5 Goals

80% of Argentina's and 70% of Colombia's recent matches had under 3.5 goals. Defenses dominate (Argentina: 6 clean sheets/10, Colombia: under25 at 50%), reducing the likelihood of a high-scoring match.

1.18

Confidence

Very high

Argentina Win

Argentina won 60% of its last 10 home games. Defense (6 clean sheets/10) and favorite status (odds 1.7) are decisive assets against Colombia, less effective away (20% wins).

1.66

Confidence

High

Both Teams to Score

Both teams scored in 40% of Argentina's recent matches and 50% for Colombia. Colombia's attack (Luis Díaz: 4 goals/9 games) can penetrate, but Argentina's defense limits heavy scores (under35 at 80%).

2.2

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Argentina vs Colombia

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Argentina vs Colombia Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Argentina	Colombia
Win	6 2 2	2 4 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	78%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	33%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	25%	0%
Win by being a favorite	56%	17%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	100%	25%
Win by being an outsider	100%	25%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	60% 40%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	50% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	30%
2nd half	40%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Lautaro Martinez	43% (3/7)	50% (3/6)	Luis Diaz
Lionel Messi	43% (3/7)	50% (2/4)	Jhon Cordoba
Julian Alvarez	11% (1/9)	29% (2/7)	Jefferson Lerma
Alexis Mac Allister	13% (1/8)	29% (2/7)	James Rodriguez
Nico Paz	10% (1/10)	67% (2/3)	Johan Carbonero
Nicolas Otamendi	11% (1/9)	14% (1/7)	Jaminton Campaz
Gonzalo Montiel	25% (1/4)	17% (1/6)	Jhon Arias
Valentin Barco	20% (1/5)	14% (1/7)	Jhon Lucumi
Giovani Lo Celso	20% (1/5)	20% (1/5)	Juan Quintero
Enzo Fernandez	20% (1/5)	14% (1/7)	Luis Suarez
		25% (1/4)	Yerry Mina

Total goals per player

	1	2
Lionel Messi	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Luis Suarez
Lautaro Martinez	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Luis Diaz
Alexis Mac Allister	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Johan Carbonero
Gonzalo Montiel	⚽1	⚽⚽2	James Rodriguez
Nico Paz	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Jefferson Lerma
Nicolas Otamendi	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Jhon Cordoba
Enzo Fernandez	⚽1	⚽1	Juan Quintero
Giovani Lo Celso	⚽1	⚽1	Yerry Mina
Valentin Barco	⚽1	⚽1	Jhon Arias
Julian Alvarez	⚽1	⚽1	Jhon Lucumi
		⚽1	Jaminton Campaz

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	70%	50%
Over corners 7.5	40%	40%
Over corners 8.5	40%	20%
Over corners 9.5	30%	20%
Over corners 10.5	30%	20%
Over corners 11.5	20%	10%
Over corners 12.5	20%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	60%	80%
Over corners 3.5	60%	70%
Over corners 4.5	60%	10%
Over corners 5.5	30%	10%
Over corners 6.5	30%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	100%
1.5	50%	70%
2.5	10%	10%
3.5	10%	0%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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