Football

Rugby

Canada - Mexico: our prediction

21/03/2025•03:30

Canada

0:2

(0:1)

Finished

Mexico

Canada vs Mexico Preview — CONCACAF Nations League A Championship Playoff

Mexico, favorite (odds 2.41), displays solid defense with 7 clean sheets in 10 matches. Canada, at home, shows promising attack but vulnerable defense. Low probability of both teams scoring.

Our Canada vs Mexico predictions

Mexico Win + Clean Sheet

Mexico kept 7 clean sheets in last 10 matches. Organized defense (1.3 goals conceded/match) and efficient attack (5 wins as favorite). No key absences reported.

3.5

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Goals

80% of Mexico's recent matches had under 2.5 goals. Canada exceeded 1 goal in only 30% of recent games. Limited offensive stats from both sides.

1.52

Confidence

Moderate

Both Teams Not to Score

Mexico conceded only 1 goal per game on average. Canada failed to score in 50% of recent matches. Low BTTS history (40% Canada, 0% Mexico).

Confidence

Moderate

Canada +1.5 Handicap

Canada lost by 2+ goals in only 20% of recent matches. Solid Mexican defense but limited away attack (1.2 goals/match). No major injuries reported.

1.57

Confidence

Average

Market signals on Canada vs Mexico

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Canada vs Mexico Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Canada	Mexico
Win	5 4 1	5 2 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	71%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	100%	33%
Win by being a favorite	100%	57%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	83%	67%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	17%	33%
Win by being an outsider	17%	33%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	70% 30%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	20%
2nd half	40%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Jonathan David	75% (3/4)	25% (2/8)	German Berterame
Derek Cornelius	50% (2/4)	33% (2/6)	Brian Gutierrez
Promise David	67% (2/3)	14% (1/7)	Jorge Sanchez
Nathan Saliba	25% (1/4)	13% (1/8)	Armando Gonzalez
Daniel Jebbison	50% (1/2)	10% (1/10)	Jesus Gallardo
Ali Ahmed	33% (1/3)	25% (1/4)	Guillermo Martinez
Jacen Russell-Rowe	100% (1/1)	25% (1/4)	Raul Jimenez
Niko Sigur	25% (1/4)	25% (1/4)	Richard Ledezma
Ismael Kone	25% (1/4)
Mathieu Choiniere	25% (1/4)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Jonathan David	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽2	German Berterame
Derek Cornelius	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Brian Gutierrez
Promise David	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Raul Jimenez
Daniel Jebbison	⚽1	⚽1	Armando Gonzalez
Jacen Russell-Rowe	⚽1	⚽1	Guillermo Martinez
Nathan Saliba	⚽1	⚽1	Richard Ledezma
Niko Sigur	⚽1	⚽1	Jesus Gallardo
Mathieu Choiniere	⚽1	⚽1	Jorge Sanchez
Ali Ahmed	⚽1
Ismael Kone	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	78%	80%
Over corners 7.5	67%	60%
Over corners 8.5	44%	60%
Over corners 9.5	44%	40%
Over corners 10.5	33%	40%
Over corners 11.5	22%	20%
Over corners 12.5	11%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	50%	50%
Over corners 3.5	40%	50%
Over corners 4.5	40%	40%
Over corners 5.5	30%	30%
Over corners 6.5	30%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	60%	30%
1.5	40%	20%
2.5	30%	10%
3.5	30%	10%
4.5	10%	10%
5.5	0%	0%

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