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Netherlands - Spain: our prediction

20/03/2025•20:45

Netherlands

2:2

(1:1)

Finished

Spain

Netherlands vs Spain Preview — UEFA Nations League A Championship Playoff

Balanced clash between Netherlands at home and favored Spain. Recent stats show efficient Spanish attack (8 wins/10) and vulnerable Dutch defense (80% matches with goals conceded). Both teams scored in 70% of their recent games.

Our Netherlands vs Spain predictions

Spain Victory

Spain won 80% of last 10 matches as favorite. Organized attack with Dani Olmo (3 goals/7 games) and solid defense (3 clean sheets/10). Netherlands kept only 2 clean sheets in 10 games.

2.25

Confidence

High

Spain Concedes

Spain kept clean sheets in only 30% of last 10 games. Competitive Dutch attack with Gakpo and Simons. 80% of Netherlands' home games saw goals scored.

1.5

Confidence

High

Both Teams to Score

70% of last 10 games for both teams saw goals from both sides. Varied Dutch attack (Gakpo: 4 goals/10) and Spanish counter efficiency (Williams: 2 goals/8). Unreliable defenses on both ends.

1.65

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Goals

7/10 recent games for both teams exceeded 2.5 goals. Average 2.8 goals/game for Spain and 2.4 for Netherlands. Leaky defenses with only 3 combined clean sheets in 20 matches.

1.8

Confidence

High

Market signals on Netherlands vs Spain

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Netherlands vs Spain Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Netherlands	Spain
Win	4 3 3	8 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	88%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	67%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	33%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	67%
Win by being a favorite	50%	80%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	70% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	20% 80%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	20%
2nd half	50%	70%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Memphis Depay	75% (6/8)	70% (7/10)	Mikel Oyarzabal
Tijjani Reijnders	30% (3/10)	50% (4/8)	Mikel Merino
Donyell Malen	30% (3/10)	22% (2/9)	Martin Zubimendi
Cody Gakpo	30% (3/10)	29% (2/7)	Ferran Torres
Virgil van Dijk	30% (3/10)	13% (1/8)	Dani Olmo
Xavi Simons	20% (2/10)	13% (1/8)	Alejandro Baena
Denzel Dumfries	25% (2/8)	10% (1/10)	Marc Cucurella
Quinten Timber	17% (1/6)	13% (1/8)	Yeremy Pino
Noa Lang	13% (1/8)	50% (1/2)	Isco
Micky van de Ven	10% (1/10)	50% (1/2)	Victor Munoz
		13% (1/8)	Pedri

Total goals per player

	1	2
Memphis Depay	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9	Mikel Oyarzabal
Cody Gakpo	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7	Mikel Merino
Donyell Malen	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽2	Martin Zubimendi
Virgil van Dijk	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Pedri
Tijjani Reijnders	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Ferran Torres
Xavi Simons	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Alejandro Baena
Denzel Dumfries	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Yeremy Pino
Micky van de Ven	⚽1	⚽1	Marc Cucurella
Quinten Timber	⚽1	⚽1	Dani Olmo
Noa Lang	⚽1	⚽1	Isco
		⚽1	Victor Munoz

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	90%
Over corners 7.5	60%	90%
Over corners 8.5	50%	70%
Over corners 9.5	40%	70%
Over corners 10.5	30%	50%
Over corners 11.5	20%	40%
Over corners 12.5	20%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	90%
Over corners 3.5	70%	80%
Over corners 4.5	70%	60%
Over corners 5.5	30%	60%
Over corners 6.5	30%	50%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	60%	100%
1.5	40%	60%
2.5	30%	20%
3.5	10%	20%
4.5	0%	20%
5.5	0%	20%

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