Football

Rugby

Italy - Germany: our prediction

20/03/2025•20:45

Italy

1:2

(1:0)

Finished

Germany

Italy vs Germany Preview — UEFA Nations League A Championship Playoff

Close match between Italy (home) and Germany (favorite). Germany wins 60% of recent games, Italy with vulnerable defense. High chance of goals from both sides.

Our Italy vs Germany predictions

Both Teams to Score

Italy: 7/10 recent games with BTTS. Germany: 5/10. Weak defenses. No key absences reported.

1.8

Confidence

High

Germany Win or Draw

Germany unbeaten in last 8 games as favorite (6 wins, 2 draws). Strong attack with Wirtz (4 goals).

1.41

Confidence

Medium

Over 2.5 Goals

Italy: 6/10 recent games >2.5 goals. Germany: 4/10. Combined 55% offensive success rate.

2.1

Confidence

Medium

Draw

4/10 recent Germany games ended in draws. Italy with 2 draws/10. Likely tactical balance.

3.1

Confidence

Low

Market signals on Italy vs Germany

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Italy vs Germany Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Italy	Germany
Win	5 2 3	6 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	86%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	25%	0%
Win by being a favorite	57%	75%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	33%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	33%	0%
Win by being an outsider	33%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	50% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	20%
2nd half	40%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Moise Kean	83% (5/6)	40% (4/10)	Serge Gnabry
Mateo Retegui	30% (3/10)	30% (3/10)	Nick Woltemade
Sandro Tonali	33% (3/9)	20% (2/10)	Florian Wirtz
Giacomo Raspadori	30% (3/10)	25% (1/4)	Ridle Baku
Francesco Pio Esposito	38% (3/8)	25% (1/4)	Deniz Undav
Gianluca Mancini	25% (2/8)	10% (1/10)	David Raum
Alessandro Bastoni	11% (1/9)	50% (1/2)	Forzan Assan Ouedraogo
Matteo Politano	17% (1/6)	10% (1/10)	Jonathan Tah
Andrea Cambiaso	11% (1/9)	25% (1/4)	Nadiem Amiri
		17% (1/6)	Leroy Sane
		50% (1/2)	Kai Havertz
		10% (1/10)	Joshua Kimmich

Total goals per player

	1	2
Moise Kean	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Serge Gnabry
Mateo Retegui	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Nick Woltemade
Giacomo Raspadori	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Florian Wirtz
Francesco Pio Esposito	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Leroy Sane
Sandro Tonali	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Joshua Kimmich
Gianluca Mancini	⚽⚽2	⚽1	David Raum
Andrea Cambiaso	⚽1	⚽1	Kai Havertz
Matteo Politano	⚽1	⚽1	Nadiem Amiri
Alessandro Bastoni	⚽1	⚽1	Forzan Assan Ouedraogo
		⚽1	Jonathan Tah
		⚽1	Ridle Baku
		⚽1	Deniz Undav

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	60%
Over corners 7.5	60%	50%
Over corners 8.5	40%	50%
Over corners 9.5	40%	50%
Over corners 10.5	30%	50%
Over corners 11.5	30%	40%
Over corners 12.5	20%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	60%	90%
Over corners 3.5	50%	80%
Over corners 4.5	50%	60%
Over corners 5.5	30%	40%
Over corners 6.5	20%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	90%
1.5	60%	50%
2.5	30%	40%
3.5	0%	20%
4.5	0%	10%
5.5	0%	10%

Betting actions

Manage your bets and alerts

TODAY'S OFFERS

Exclusive new customer offers