Football

Rugby

Germany - Italy: our prediction

23/03/2025•20:45

Germany

3:3

(3:0)

Finished

Italy

Germany vs Italy Preview — UEFA Nations League A Championship Playoff

Match between Germany and Italy in the Nations League. Germany is favored with odds of 1.89, while Italy is at 5.86. Recent statistics show a strong Germany at home.

Our Germany vs Italy predictions

Germany to win

Germany has won 6 of its last 10 matches and has not lost any match as a favorite. Italy has lost 4 of its last 10 matches.

1.89

Confidence

High

Over 1.5 goals for Germany

Germany has scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of its last 10 matches.

1.92

Confidence

Medium

Both teams to score

Germany has scored in 9 of its last 10 matches, while Italy has scored in 8 of its last 10 matches.

1.8

Confidence

Medium

Over 2.5 goals

5 of Germany's last 10 matches and 6 of Italy's last 10 matches saw over 2.5 goals.

1.95

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Germany vs Italy

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Germany vs Italy Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Germany	Italy
Win	6 4	4 2 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	71%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	20%
Win by being a favorite	71%	43%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	33%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	33%	33%
Win by being an outsider	33%	33%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	10% 90%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	70% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	30%
2nd half	70%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Serge Gnabry	40% (4/10)	83% (5/6)	Moise Kean
Nick Woltemade	30% (3/10)	33% (3/9)	Sandro Tonali
Florian Wirtz	20% (2/10)	30% (3/10)	Mateo Retegui
Forzan Assan Ouedraogo	50% (1/2)	38% (3/8)	Francesco Pio Esposito
Joshua Kimmich	10% (1/10)	30% (3/10)	Giacomo Raspadori
Kai Havertz	50% (1/2)	25% (2/8)	Gianluca Mancini
David Raum	10% (1/10)	17% (1/6)	Matteo Politano
Leroy Sane	17% (1/6)	11% (1/9)	Andrea Cambiaso
Deniz Undav	25% (1/4)	11% (1/9)	Alessandro Bastoni
Ridle Baku	25% (1/4)
Jonathan Tah	10% (1/10)
Nadiem Amiri	25% (1/4)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Serge Gnabry	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	Moise Kean
Nick Woltemade	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Mateo Retegui
Florian Wirtz	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Giacomo Raspadori
Leroy Sane	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Francesco Pio Esposito
Joshua Kimmich	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Sandro Tonali
David Raum	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Gianluca Mancini
Kai Havertz	⚽1	⚽1	Andrea Cambiaso
Nadiem Amiri	⚽1	⚽1	Matteo Politano
Forzan Assan Ouedraogo	⚽1	⚽1	Alessandro Bastoni
Jonathan Tah	⚽1
Ridle Baku	⚽1
Deniz Undav	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	60%	80%
Over corners 7.5	50%	60%
Over corners 8.5	50%	50%
Over corners 9.5	50%	50%
Over corners 10.5	50%	40%
Over corners 11.5	40%	40%
Over corners 12.5	20%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	60%
Over corners 3.5	80%	50%
Over corners 4.5	60%	50%
Over corners 5.5	40%	40%
Over corners 6.5	30%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	100%
1.5	40%	60%
2.5	40%	30%
3.5	20%	0%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	10%	0%

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