Football

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Spain - France: our prediction

05/06/2025•21:00

Spain

5:4

(2:0)

Finished

France

Spain vs France Preview — UEFA Nations League A Championship Playoff

Match between Spain (home) and France in Nations League playoffs. Spain, favorite (odds 2.41), has 7 wins in last 10 matches. France shows inconsistent away form. No injury information available.

Our Spain vs France predictions

Spain Win

Spain boasts 70% win rate over 10 matches, 7/10 as favorite. Offensive superiority with +1.5 goals/match in 80% of cases. Home advantage decisive against less convincing France away.

2.43

Confidence

High (65 %)

Over 2.5 Goals

80% of Spain's recent matches exceeded 2.5 goals. Efficient Spanish attack (+1.5 goals/team in 80% of cases) against French defense conceding in 60% of away matches.

Confidence

High (65 %)

Both Teams to Score

70% of Spain's matches saw both teams score. France scored in 80% of away games. Spanish (30% clean sheets) and French (40% clean sheets) defenses vulnerable.

1.75

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Spain vs France

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Spain vs France Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Spain	France
Win	7 3	5 2 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	78%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	67%	60%
Win by being a favorite	70%	56%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	50% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	60% 40%
Leading at half-time	60% 40%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	50%
2nd half	60%	10%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	80% 20%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	80% 20%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Mikel Oyarzabal	70% (7/10)	88% (7/8)	Kylian Mbappe
Mikel Merino	50% (4/8)	30% (3/10)	Michael Olise
Ferran Torres	29% (2/7)	25% (2/8)	Hugo Ekitike
Martin Zubimendi	22% (2/9)	50% (2/4)	Jean-Philippe Mateta
Alejandro Baena	13% (1/8)	13% (1/8)	Adrien Rabiot
Dani Olmo	13% (1/8)	25% (1/4)	Randal Kolo Muani
Marc Cucurella	10% (1/10)	20% (1/5)	Desire Doue
Isco	50% (1/2)	33% (1/3)	Florian Thauvin
Pedri	13% (1/8)	25% (1/4)	Christopher Nkunku
Yeremy Pino	13% (1/8)	17% (1/6)	Rayan Cherki
Victor Munoz	50% (1/2)	20% (1/5)	Bradley Barcola
		13% (1/8)	Maghnes Akliouche
		17% (1/6)	Marcus Thuram

Total goals per player

	1	2
Mikel Oyarzabal	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8	Kylian Mbappe
Mikel Merino	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7	⚽⚽⚽3	Michael Olise
Martin Zubimendi	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Hugo Ekitike
Pedri	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Desire Doue
Ferran Torres	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Jean-Philippe Mateta
Alejandro Baena	⚽1	⚽1	Randal Kolo Muani
Yeremy Pino	⚽1	⚽1	Florian Thauvin
Marc Cucurella	⚽1	⚽1	Rayan Cherki
Dani Olmo	⚽1	⚽1	Adrien Rabiot
Isco	⚽1	⚽1	Maghnes Akliouche
Victor Munoz	⚽1	⚽1	Bradley Barcola
		⚽1	Christopher Nkunku
		⚽1	Marcus Thuram

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	90%
Over corners 7.5	80%	80%
Over corners 8.5	60%	70%
Over corners 9.5	60%	60%
Over corners 10.5	40%	50%
Over corners 11.5	30%	50%
Over corners 12.5	10%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	90%
Over corners 3.5	90%	80%
Over corners 4.5	50%	60%
Over corners 5.5	50%	50%
Over corners 6.5	40%	40%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	100%
1.5	70%	60%
2.5	10%	10%
3.5	10%	10%
4.5	10%	10%
5.5	10%	0%

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