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Portugal - Spain: our prediction

08/06/2025•21:00

Portugal

2:2

(1:2)

Finished AP

5 tab 3

Spain

Portugal vs Spain Preview — UEFA Nations League A Championship Playoff

Portugal faces Spain in the UEFA Nations League. Spain, the favorite (odds 1.91), is unbeaten in 10 matches (7 wins, 3 draws). Portugal at home has 6 wins/10. High-scoring trend: 70% of matches with both teams scoring and 60-80% over 2.5 goals.

Our Portugal vs Spain predictions

Over 2.5 Goals

High-scoring trend: 60% of Portugal's matches (6/10) and 80% of Spain's (8/10) exceeded 2.5 goals. Consistent attacking form (Portugal: 1.4 goals/match, Spain: 1.7 goals/match) and open play style. Compatible with both teams scoring.

1.7

Confidence

High

Both Teams to Score

70% of recent matches for both teams featured goals from both sides (7/10 each). Portugal's attack (6 goals/10) and Spain's offense (8 matches with +1.5 goals/10) are potent. Defenses vulnerable (Portugal: 2 clean sheets/10, Spain: 3/10).

1.6

Confidence

High

Spain Win

Spain unbeaten in 10 matches (7 wins, 0 losses). 70% win rate as favorite, defensive solidity (3 clean sheets/10), and efficient attack (8/10 matches with +1.5 goals) are key strengths. No key absences reported.

1.95

Confidence

High

Market signals on Portugal vs Spain

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Portugal vs Spain Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Portugal	Spain
Win	6 3 1	7 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	86%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	67%
Win by being a favorite	71%	70%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	33%	0%
Win by being an outsider	33%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	70% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	60% 40%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	10%
2nd half	50%	70%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Cristiano Ronaldo	71% (5/7)	70% (7/10)	Mikel Oyarzabal
Bruno Fernandes	22% (2/9)	50% (4/8)	Mikel Merino
Joao Cancelo	33% (2/6)	29% (2/7)	Ferran Torres
Chico Conceicao	22% (2/9)	22% (2/9)	Martin Zubimendi
Goncalo Ramos	20% (2/10)	13% (1/8)	Alejandro Baena
Ruben Neves	20% (2/10)	13% (1/8)	Dani Olmo
Joao Felix	22% (2/9)	10% (1/10)	Marc Cucurella
Vitinha	10% (1/10)	50% (1/2)	Isco
Bernardo Silva	13% (1/8)	13% (1/8)	Pedri
Renato Veiga	10% (1/10)	13% (1/8)	Yeremy Pino
Nuno Mendes	13% (1/8)	50% (1/2)	Victor Munoz
Trincao	10% (1/10)
Joao Neves	13% (1/8)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Cristiano Ronaldo	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9	Mikel Oyarzabal
Bruno Fernandes	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7	Mikel Merino
Joao Neves	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Martin Zubimendi
Joao Felix	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Pedri
Chico Conceicao	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Ferran Torres
Goncalo Ramos	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Alejandro Baena
Nuno Mendes	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Yeremy Pino
Ruben Neves	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Marc Cucurella
Joao Cancelo	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Dani Olmo
Vitinha	⚽1	⚽1	Isco
Bernardo Silva	⚽1	⚽1	Victor Munoz
Trincao	⚽1
Renato Veiga	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	80%
Over corners 7.5	80%	80%
Over corners 8.5	80%	60%
Over corners 9.5	80%	60%
Over corners 10.5	70%	40%
Over corners 11.5	60%	30%
Over corners 12.5	40%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	100%
Over corners 3.5	90%	90%
Over corners 4.5	70%	50%
Over corners 5.5	60%	50%
Over corners 6.5	50%	40%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	100%
1.5	70%	70%
2.5	40%	10%
3.5	10%	10%
4.5	0%	10%
5.5	0%	10%

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