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Palmeiras - Chelsea: our prediction

05/07/2025•03:00

Palmeiras

1:2

(0:1)

Finished

Chelsea

Palmeiras vs Chelsea Preview — FIFA Club World Cup Final Stage

Palmeiras faces Chelsea in the Club World Cup final. Chelsea, favorite (odds 2.03), wins 70% of last 10 matches. Palmeiras wins 50% at home. No key absences reported. Trends: Low both teams scoring rate (Palmeiras 30%, Chelsea 40%), under 2.5 goals likely.

Our Palmeiras vs Chelsea predictions

Chelsea Win

Chelsea wins 70% of last 10 matches, including 7/9 as favorite. Solid defense (5 clean sheets) and statistical edge against Palmeiras, who win only 30% against favorites.

1.91

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 2.5 Goals

Palmeiras: Under 2.5 goals in 50% of matches. Chelsea: 60%. Low both teams scoring rate (Palmeiras 30%, Chelsea 40%). Stable defenses (Palmeiras: 6 clean sheets/10, Chelsea: 5/10).

1.65

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Palmeiras vs Chelsea

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Palmeiras vs Chelsea Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Palmeiras	Chelsea
Win	5 3 2	7 1 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	78%	89%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	33%
Win by being a favorite	44%	78%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	100%	0%
Win by being an outsider	100%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	60% 40%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	40% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	20% 80%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	10% 90%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	20%
2nd half	50%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Jose Lopez	40% (4/10)	33% (3/9)	Enzo Fernandez
Jhon Arias	20% (2/10)	20% (2/10)	Andrey Santos
Allan	25% (2/8)	25% (2/8)	Joao Pedro
Ramon Sosa	25% (2/8)	10% (1/10)	Jorrel Hato
Erick Bele	17% (1/6)	33% (1/3)	Estevao
Paulinho	14% (1/7)	11% (1/9)	Cole Palmer
Luighi	11% (1/9)	13% (1/8)	Alejandro Garnacho
Felipe Anderson	11% (1/9)	13% (1/8)	Tosin Adarabioyo
Andreas Pereira	11% (1/9)
Mauricio	10% (1/10)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Jose Lopez	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Enzo Fernandez
Jhon Arias	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Joao Pedro
Allan	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Andrey Santos
Ramon Sosa	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Estevao
Luighi	⚽1	⚽1	Cole Palmer
Felipe Anderson	⚽1	⚽1	Tosin Adarabioyo
Andreas Pereira	⚽1	⚽1	Alejandro Garnacho
Erick Bele	⚽1	⚽1	Jorrel Hato
Paulinho	⚽1
Mauricio	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	90%
Over corners 7.5	80%	90%
Over corners 8.5	70%	70%
Over corners 9.5	60%	50%
Over corners 10.5	40%	30%
Over corners 11.5	40%	20%
Over corners 12.5	30%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	100%
Over corners 3.5	90%	90%
Over corners 4.5	80%	60%
Over corners 5.5	70%	50%
Over corners 6.5	60%	50%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	40%	60%
1.5	40%	40%
2.5	20%	20%
3.5	20%	20%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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