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Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund: our prediction

05/07/2025•22:00

Real Madrid

3:2

(2:0)

Finished

Borussia Dortmund

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Preview — FIFA Club World Cup Final Stage

FIFA Club World Cup final between home favorites Real Madrid (odds 1.63) and unbeaten Borussia Dortmund (10 games). No major absences reported. Strong offensive stats from both sides.

Our Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund predictions

Over 2.5 goals

60% success rate for Real Madrid and 80% for Dortmund in last 10 games. Both teams show high offensive productivity (Real: 9 games >1.5 goals, Dortmund: 8 games >1.5 goals).

1.52

Confidence

High

Real Madrid win

70% win rate for Real as favorite (7/10 games). Home advantage and strong stats, but Dortmund unbeaten in 10 games (9 wins).

1.65

Confidence

Medium

Both teams to score

Occurred in 60% of recent matches for both teams. Vulnerable defenses (Real: 6 failed clean sheets/10, Dortmund: 6 failed clean sheets/10). Efficient attacks with Mbappé (Real) and Guirassy (Dortmund).

1.57

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Real Madrid	Borussia Dortmund
Win	7 2 1	9 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	83%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	100%	100%
Win by being a favorite	88%	89%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	100%
Win by being an outsider	0%	100%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	60% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	90% 10%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	40%
2nd half	50%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	40% 60%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Kylian Mbappe	50% (4/8)	60% (6/10)	Serhou Guirassy
Vinicius Junior	44% (4/9)	20% (2/10)	Maximilian Beier
Jude Bellingham	20% (2/10)	33% (2/6)	Ramy Bensebaini
Gonzalo Garcia	20% (2/10)	33% (2/6)	Karim Adeyemi
Arda Guler	20% (1/5)	11% (1/9)	Luca Reggiani
Brahim Diaz	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Julian Brandt
Federico Valverde	14% (1/7)	11% (1/9)	Yan Couto
		10% (1/10)	Fabio Silva
		10% (1/10)	Nico Schlotterbeck
		11% (1/9)	Samuele Inacio

Total goals per player

	1	2
Vinicius Junior	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	Serhou Guirassy
Kylian Mbappe	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Ramy Bensebaini
Gonzalo Garcia	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Karim Adeyemi
Arda Guler	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Maximilian Beier
Jude Bellingham	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Luca Reggiani
Federico Valverde	⚽1	⚽1	Fabio Silva
Brahim Diaz	⚽1	⚽1	Samuele Inacio
		⚽1	Julian Brandt
		⚽1	Nico Schlotterbeck
		⚽1	Yan Couto

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	90%
Over corners 7.5	100%	60%
Over corners 8.5	90%	30%
Over corners 9.5	80%	30%
Over corners 10.5	70%	20%
Over corners 11.5	50%	20%
Over corners 12.5	40%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	90%
Over corners 3.5	80%	70%
Over corners 4.5	70%	50%
Over corners 5.5	50%	40%
Over corners 6.5	50%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	40%	50%
1.5	30%	20%
2.5	20%	10%
3.5	10%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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