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Fluminense - Chelsea: our prediction

08/07/2025•21:00

Fluminense

0:2

(0:1)

Finished

Chelsea

Fluminense vs Chelsea Preview — FIFA Club World Cup Final Stage

Chelsea, the bookmakers' favorite (odds at 1.55), faces Fluminense in the FIFA Club World Cup final. In their last 10 matches, Chelsea shows solid form (7 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) and an efficient attack. Fluminense, as the underdog, reveals a sometimes leaky defense. The match could be tight, with Chelsea slightly favored to win.

Our Fluminense vs Chelsea predictions

Under 2.5 Goals

Statistics from the last 10 matches support this bet: Fluminense had 6 of its last 10 matches end with under 2.5 goals, Chelsea also 6/10. Chelsea has a strong tendency to win without conceding (5 clean sheets in 10). In a final, the stakes can encourage caution, limiting the number of goals. A narrow Chelsea win (e.g., 1-0, 2-0) is a likely scenario.

1.7

Confidence

High

Chelsea Win

Chelsea is the clear favorite (odds 1.55) and shows excellent form in their last 10 matches: 7 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses. The team has won 7 of its last 9 matches as favorite. Fluminense, although solid at home, has shown defensive weaknesses (5 clean sheets in 10). Chelsea's offensive quality (João Pedro, Cole Palmer) should make the difference.

1.58

Confidence

High

Market signals on Fluminense vs Chelsea

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Fluminense vs Chelsea Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Fluminense	Chelsea
Win	7 3	7 1 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	89%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	50%
Win by being a favorite	67%	78%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	75%	0%
Win by being an outsider	75%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	40% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	10% 90%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	20%
2nd half	20%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	70% 30%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
John Kennedy	50% (5/10)	33% (3/9)	Enzo Fernandez
Jefferson Savarino	33% (3/9)	25% (2/8)	Joao Pedro
Agustin Canobbio	22% (2/9)	20% (2/10)	Andrey Santos
Luciano Acosta	29% (2/7)	33% (1/3)	Estevao
Hercules	10% (1/10)	13% (1/8)	Alejandro Garnacho
Kevin Serna	10% (1/10)	13% (1/8)	Tosin Adarabioyo
		11% (1/9)	Cole Palmer
		10% (1/10)	Jorrel Hato

Total goals per player

	1	2
John Kennedy	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽3	Enzo Fernandez
Jefferson Savarino	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Joao Pedro
Luciano Acosta	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Andrey Santos
Agustin Canobbio	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Estevao
Kevin Serna	⚽1	⚽1	Cole Palmer
Hercules	⚽1	⚽1	Tosin Adarabioyo
		⚽1	Alejandro Garnacho
		⚽1	Jorrel Hato

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	90%
Over corners 7.5	80%	90%
Over corners 8.5	70%	70%
Over corners 9.5	70%	60%
Over corners 10.5	30%	40%
Over corners 11.5	30%	30%
Over corners 12.5	30%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	100%
Over corners 3.5	70%	100%
Over corners 4.5	60%	70%
Over corners 5.5	40%	60%
Over corners 6.5	30%	60%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	30%	50%
1.5	30%	30%
2.5	30%	20%
3.5	10%	20%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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