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Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid: our prediction

09/07/2025•21:10

Paris Saint-Germain

4:0

(3:0)

Finished

Real Madrid

Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid Preview — FIFA Club World Cup Final Stage

Paris Saint-Germain faces Real Madrid in the Club World Cup final. PSG, favorite (odds 2.32), won 9 of its last 10 matches. Real Madrid (odds 2.92) shows strong away form with 8 wins in 10 games. Statistics indicate an offensive match, with 70% of PSG's and 60% of Real's games exceeding 2.5 goals.

Our Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid predictions

PSG Win

PSG won 90% of its last 10 home games. Efficient attack with 9 matches >1.5 goals/team. No key absences reported. Real Madrid, while solid (80% wins), conceded in 60% of recent matches.

2.02

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Goals

70% of PSG's last 10 matches and 60% of Real Madrid's exceeded 2.5 goals. PSG scores >1.5 goals in 90% of games, while Real scores in 100% of recent matches. Relatively leaky defenses (PSG: 40% clean sheets; Real: 40%).

1.5

Confidence

Medium

Both Teams Score

Only 30% of PSG's last 10 matches saw both teams score (Real: 60%). PSG kept 6 clean sheets in 10 games, indicating solid defense. Real scored in 100% of matches but conceded in 60% of recent away games.

1.44

Confidence

Low

Market signals on Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Paris Saint-Germain	Real Madrid
Win	9 1	8 1 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	90%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	50%	83%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	100%	100%
Win by being a favorite	90%	89%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	60% 40%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	60% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	60% 40%
Leading at half-time	70% 30%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	30%
2nd half	50%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	40% 60%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	40% (4/10)	44% (4/9)	Vinicius Junior
Ousmane Dembele	30% (3/10)	50% (4/8)	Kylian Mbappe
Desire Doue	20% (2/10)	20% (2/10)	Gonzalo Garcia
Ibrahim Mbaye	22% (2/9)	20% (2/10)	Jude Bellingham
Bradley Barcola	10% (1/10)	20% (1/5)	Arda Guler
Kang-In Lee	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Brahim Diaz
Senny Mayulu	10% (1/10)	14% (1/7)	Federico Valverde
Warren Zaire-Emery	13% (1/8)
Lucas Beraldo	10% (1/10)
Joao Neves	10% (1/10)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Vinicius Junior
Ousmane Dembele	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Kylian Mbappe
Desire Doue	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Jude Bellingham
Ibrahim Mbaye	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Gonzalo Garcia
Lucas Beraldo	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Arda Guler
Joao Neves	⚽1	⚽1	Federico Valverde
Bradley Barcola	⚽1	⚽1	Brahim Diaz
Senny Mayulu	⚽1
Warren Zaire-Emery	⚽1
Kang-In Lee	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	90%
Over corners 7.5	70%	90%
Over corners 8.5	60%	80%
Over corners 9.5	50%	70%
Over corners 10.5	30%	60%
Over corners 11.5	10%	40%
Over corners 12.5	10%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	80%
Over corners 3.5	80%	70%
Over corners 4.5	50%	60%
Over corners 5.5	40%	40%
Over corners 6.5	40%	40%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	40%	30%
1.5	20%	20%
2.5	0%	10%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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