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Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain: our prediction

13/07/2025•21:05

Chelsea

3:0

(3:0)

Finished

Paris Saint-Germain

Chelsea vs Paris Saint-Germain Preview — FIFA Club World Cup Final Stage

Chelsea faces Paris Saint-Germain in the Club World Cup final. PSG, favored at 1.6 odds, shows 9 wins in 10 matches (90% success rate). Chelsea has 7 wins in 10 games. No injury information available.

Our Chelsea vs Paris Saint-Germain predictions

PSG scores over 1.5 goals

PSG scored +1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches. Attack is efficient with 2.3 goals/match average. Chelsea conceded +1.5 goals in 5 of their recent 10 games.

1.66

Confidence

Very high

Over 2.5 goals

70% of PSG's recent matches had +2.5 goals. Chelsea's rate is 40%. PSG's attack (2.3 goals/game) and Chelsea's defensive weaknesses (5 games without clean sheet) support this scenario.

1.72

Confidence

High

Paris Saint-Germain Win

PSG won 9 of their last 10 matches (90% success rate). Chelsea suffered only one home loss but shows a less solid defense (5 clean sheets in 10 games). No key absences reported.

1.67

Confidence

High

Market signals on Chelsea vs Paris Saint-Germain

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Chelsea vs Paris Saint-Germain Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Chelsea	Paris Saint-Germain
Win	7 1 2	9 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	89%	90%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	100%
Win by being a favorite	78%	90%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	70% 30%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	20% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	10% 90%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	70% 30%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	40%
2nd half	60%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Enzo Fernandez	33% (3/9)	40% (4/10)	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Andrey Santos	20% (2/10)	30% (3/10)	Ousmane Dembele
Joao Pedro	25% (2/8)	20% (2/10)	Desire Doue
Jorrel Hato	10% (1/10)	22% (2/9)	Ibrahim Mbaye
Estevao	33% (1/3)	10% (1/10)	Senny Mayulu
Cole Palmer	11% (1/9)	13% (1/8)	Warren Zaire-Emery
Alejandro Garnacho	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Bradley Barcola
Tosin Adarabioyo	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Joao Neves
		11% (1/9)	Kang-In Lee
		10% (1/10)	Lucas Beraldo

Total goals per player

	1	2
Enzo Fernandez	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Joao Pedro	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Ousmane Dembele
Andrey Santos	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Desire Doue
Estevao	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Ibrahim Mbaye
Cole Palmer	⚽1	⚽1	Lucas Beraldo
Tosin Adarabioyo	⚽1	⚽1	Joao Neves
Alejandro Garnacho	⚽1	⚽1	Bradley Barcola
Jorrel Hato	⚽1	⚽1	Senny Mayulu
		⚽1	Warren Zaire-Emery
		⚽1	Kang-In Lee

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	80%
Over corners 7.5	80%	70%
Over corners 8.5	60%	70%
Over corners 9.5	50%	50%
Over corners 10.5	40%	30%
Over corners 11.5	30%	10%
Over corners 12.5	20%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	90%
Over corners 3.5	100%	80%
Over corners 4.5	60%	50%
Over corners 5.5	50%	40%
Over corners 6.5	50%	40%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	40%	30%
1.5	30%	10%
2.5	20%	0%
3.5	20%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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