Nepal - Laos: our prediction

In the last 10 matches, Nepal has seen under 2.5 goals in 70% of cases (7/10) and Laos in 40% of cases (4/10). Both teams have ineffective attacks (Nepal: 5 goals scored in 10 matches; Laos: 6 goals scored in 10 matches). Nepal's home defense can be solid (4 clean sheets in 10 matches). Laos, struggling away (1 win in 10 matches), will have difficulty scoring. The most likely scenario is a tight match with few goals.

Laos has scored under 1.5 goals in 90% of its last 10 matches (9/10). Their attack is unprolific (6 goals in 10 matches, average 0.6 goals/match). Facing a Nepalese defense that can be solid at home (4 clean sheets in 10 matches), it is very likely that Laos will not score more than one goal. Furthermore, Laos has never scored more than 1.5 goals per match in the available data (0/10 for the 'parou15' indicator).

Nepal is the home favorite (odds 2.02). Although their recent form is mixed (2W, 3D, 5L in 10 matches), they are playing at home and face a very weak Laos away (only 1 win in 10 away matches). Laos has lost 70% of its last 10 matches (7 defeats). Nepal has a more solid defense (4 clean sheets vs. 0 for Laos) and should be able to win thanks to their home advantage and the opponent's poor away performance.