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Portugal - Italy: our prediction

07/07/2025•21:00

Portugal

1:1

(0:0)

Finished

Italy

Portugal vs Italy Preview — Women's EURO Grp. B

Portugal faces Italy in Women's EURO Group B. Italy is favorite (odds 1.64) with solid defense (60% clean sheets). No injury information available. Portuguese attack efficient (70% matches >2.5 goals).

Our Portugal vs Italy predictions

Under 2.5 Goals

Italy has 60% matches under 2.5 goals. Portugal has high >2.5 goals rate (70%) but Italian defense (only 40% matches >2.5 goals) should contain attack. Consistent with tight Italian win.

1.7

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Italy Win

Italy wins 50% of its last 10 matches. Solid defense (6 clean sheets/10) and favorite status confirmed by odds. Portugal rarely loses at home (10% defeats) but Italian defensive advantage decisive.

1.63

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Portugal vs Italy

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Portugal vs Italy Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Portugal	Italy
Win	6 3 1	5 4 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	80%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	83%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	0%
Win by being a favorite	67%	60%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	40%
Win by being an outsider	0%	40%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	60% 40%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	40% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	10% 90%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	70% 30%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	50%	10%
2nd half	10%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	70% 30%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	50% 50%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Diana Gomes	40% (2/5)	29% (2/7)	Cristiana Girelli
Diana Silva	20% (1/5)	14% (1/7)	Sofia Cantore
Fatima Pinto	25% (1/4)	20% (1/5)	Barbara Bonansea
Francisca Nazareth	20% (1/5)	14% (1/7)	Arianna Caruso
Telma Encarnacao	33% (1/3)	14% (1/7)	Elisabetta Oliviero
Jessica Silva	20% (1/5)	50% (1/2)	Agnese Bonfantini

Total goals per player

	1	2
Diana Silva	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Cristiana Girelli
Diana Gomes	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Arianna Caruso
Telma Encarnacao	⚽1	⚽1	Barbara Bonansea
Jessica Silva	⚽1	⚽1	Sofia Cantore
Francisca Nazareth	⚽1	⚽1	Elisabetta Oliviero
Fatima Pinto	⚽1	⚽1	Agnese Bonfantini

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	100%
Over corners 7.5	100%	100%
Over corners 8.5	100%	100%
Over corners 9.5	100%	0%
Over corners 10.5	100%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	10%
Over corners 3.5	0%	10%
Over corners 4.5	0%	10%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	20%	70%
1.5	10%	40%
2.5	0%	10%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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