Italy - Spain: our prediction
11/07/2025•21:00
Italy
1:3
(1:1)
Finished
Spain
-
1
-
X
-
2
Italy vs Spain Preview — Women's EURO Grp. B
Women's EURO 2025 match between Italy (home) and Spain (favorite at 1.23). Spain wins 5/10 matches, Italy 4/10. Both teams score in 50% of Italy's games and 70% for Spain. No major absences reported.
Our Italy vs Spain predictions
Over 2.5 Goals
Spain: 70% success rate (7/10 games). Italy: 40%. Spain's games produced 3+ goals in 70% of recent matches. Italian defensive weakness against top-tier attacks.
1.54
Confidence
High
Both Teams Score
70% success rate for Spain and 50% for Italy over 10 games. Italian defense conceded in 80% of recent matches. Spanish attack scored in 90% of matches.
2
Confidence
High
Spain Win
Spain, favorite (1.23), won 50% of its last 10 games as favorite. Italy lost 60% of recent matches against favorites. Spanish offensive superiority with 7 goals/3 games.
1.23
Confidence
High
Market signals on Italy vs Spain
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Italy vs Spain Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 5 1 | 5 3 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 83% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 25% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 70% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 20% |
2nd half | 50% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cristiana Girelli | 29% (2/7) | 67% (4/6) | Claudia Pina |
| Agnese Bonfantini | 50% (1/2) | 50% (3/6) | Athenea del Castillo |
| Barbara Bonansea | 20% (1/5) | 50% (3/6) | Mariona Caldentey |
| Sofia Cantore | 14% (1/7) | 50% (3/6) | Esther Gonzalez |
| Elisabetta Oliviero | 14% (1/7) | 33% (2/6) | Vicky Lopez |
| Arianna Caruso | 14% (1/7) | 33% (2/6) | Alexia Putellas |
33% (2/6) | Patricia Guijarro | ||
17% (1/6) | Aitana Bonmati | ||
20% (1/5) | Irene Paredes | ||
17% (1/6) | Lucia Garcia | ||
17% (1/6) | Cristina Martin-Prieto |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cristiana Girelli | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Esther Gonzalez |
| Sofia Cantore | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Claudia Pina |
| Elisabetta Oliviero | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Alexia Putellas |
| Agnese Bonfantini | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Athenea del Castillo |
| Arianna Caruso | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Mariona Caldentey |
| Barbara Bonansea | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Vicky Lopez |
⚽⚽2 | Patricia Guijarro | ||
⚽1 | Cristina Martin-Prieto | ||
⚽1 | Lucia Garcia | ||
⚽1 | Aitana Bonmati | ||
⚽1 | Irene Paredes |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 75% |
Over corners 7.5 | 100% | 75% |
Over corners 8.5 | 100% | 75% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 75% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 75% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 63% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 50% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over corners 3.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 40% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 20% |
1.5 | 30% | 0% |
2.5 | 10% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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