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Chelsea FC Women - Barcelona: our prediction

27/04/2025•15:00

Chelsea FC Women

1:4

(0:3)

Finished

Barcelona

Chelsea FC Women vs Barcelona Preview — Women's Champions League Final Stage

UEFA Women's Champions League Final between Chelsea (at home) and Barcelona (bookmakers' favorite). Barcelona is in impressive form with 9 wins in their last 10 matches, while Chelsea, solid at home, has won 7 of their last 10. The offensive statistics of both teams suggest an open match with goals.

Our Chelsea FC Women vs Barcelona predictions

Over 2.5 goals in the match

The offensive statistics of both teams are convincing. In the last 10 matches, Chelsea had over 2.5 goals in 80% of cases (8/10) and Barcelona in 80% of cases (8/10). Neither defense is watertight (Chelsea: 30% clean sheets, Barcelona: 30%). The final and the stakes could lead to offensive play. The 'Over 2.5 goals' bet is supported by a strong historical trend.

1.4

Confidence

Very high

Barcelona to win

Barcelona is clearly the favorite (odds at 1.48). The team shows exceptional form with 9 wins in its last 10 matches (90%), and has lost only once. It has won 90% of its matches as favorite (9/10). Chelsea, although solid at home (7 wins/10), has suffered 2 defeats. Barcelona's technical superiority and consistency, coupled with its status as an experienced finalist, make it the logical favorite to win.

1.53

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

Chelsea has scored at least one goal in 90% of its last 10 matches (9/10 for 'parou05'), and Barcelona in 100% (10/10). Conversely, Chelsea did not concede a goal in only 30% of its matches, and Barcelona in 30%. The probability of each team finding the net is therefore high. The 'Both teams to score' (BTTS) bet has an occurrence of 60% for Chelsea and 70% for Barcelona over the last 10 matches, reinforcing this scenario.

1.5

Confidence

High

Market signals on Chelsea FC Women vs Barcelona

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Chelsea FC Women vs Barcelona Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Chelsea FC Women	Barcelona
Win	7 1 2	9 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	89%	90%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	75%	89%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	67%	0%
Win by being a favorite	78%	90%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	70% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	80% 20%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	10%
2nd half	60%	70%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	70% 30%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Samantha Kerr	100% (6/6)	40% (4/10)	Ewa Pajor
Lauren James	38% (3/8)	33% (3/9)	Salma Paralluelo
Erin Cuthbert	25% (2/8)	30% (3/10)	Alexia Putellas
Sjoeke Nuesken	25% (2/8)	30% (3/10)	Esmee Brugts
Alyssa Thompson	13% (1/8)	30% (3/10)	Claudia Pina
Naomi Girma	25% (1/4)	25% (2/8)	Caroline Graham Hansen
Ellie Carpenter	17% (1/6)	20% (2/10)	Sydney Schertenleib
Alexia Potter	13% (1/8)	20% (2/10)	Carla Julia
Johanna Rytting Kaneryd	20% (1/5)	25% (2/8)	Martine Fenger
Veerle Buurman	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Vicky Lopez
		20% (1/5)	Aitana Bonmati
		11% (1/9)	Irene Paredes
		10% (1/10)	Francisca Nazareth
		10% (1/10)	Marta Torrejon
		10% (1/10)	Ona Batlle
		10% (1/10)	Mapi Leon

Total goals per player

	1	2
Samantha Kerr	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Ewa Pajor
Lauren James	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Alexia Putellas
Sjoeke Nuesken	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Salma Paralluelo
Erin Cuthbert	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Claudia Pina
Alexia Potter	⚽1	⚽⚽⚽3	Martine Fenger
Naomi Girma	⚽1	⚽⚽⚽3	Caroline Graham Hansen
Ellie Carpenter	⚽1	⚽⚽⚽3	Esmee Brugts
Alyssa Thompson	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Sydney Schertenleib
Johanna Rytting Kaneryd	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Carla Julia
Veerle Buurman	⚽1	⚽1	Ona Batlle
		⚽1	Marta Torrejon
		⚽1	Vicky Lopez
		⚽1	Irene Paredes
		⚽1	Francisca Nazareth
		⚽1	Mapi Leon
		⚽1	Aitana Bonmati

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	67%
Over corners 7.5	70%	56%
Over corners 8.5	60%	56%
Over corners 9.5	60%	56%
Over corners 10.5	50%	44%
Over corners 11.5	40%	33%
Over corners 12.5	10%	22%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	30%
Over corners 3.5	60%	30%
Over corners 4.5	60%	20%
Over corners 5.5	50%	20%
Over corners 6.5	40%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	40%	20%
1.5	20%	0%
2.5	0%	0%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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