Toluca - Monterrey: our prediction
11/05/2025•03:00
Toluca
2:1
(1:0)
Finished
Monterrey
-
1
-
X
-
2
Toluca vs Monterrey Preview — Liga MX Clausura Playoff
Toluca (home) faces Monterrey in Liga MX Clausura Playoff. Toluca shows a strong offensive record (8 wins/10), while Monterrey has a less stable defense (5 wins/10). Both teams tend to be involved in goal-rich matches.
Our Toluca vs Monterrey predictions
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Toluca achieved +2.5 goals in 9/10 recent matches. Monterrey conceded +2.5 goals in 6/10 recent games.
1.5
Confidence
Very high
Under 3.5 goals by Monterrey
Monterrey stayed under 3.5 goals in 7/10 matches. Toluca has a stable home defense (4 clean sheets/10).
1.58
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Monterrey scored in 7/10 matches. Toluca conceded goals in 6/10 home games.
1.57
Confidence
High
Toluca win without conceding
Toluca kept 4 clean sheets/10 matches. Monterrey failed to score in 3/10 games.
3
Confidence
Low
Market signals on Toluca vs Monterrey
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Toluca vs Monterrey Statistics
Win
Win | 7 1 2 | 6 1 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 71% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 88% | 57% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 67% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 67% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 70% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 60% | 10% |
2nd half | 40% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Castro | 30% (3/10) | 33% (3/9) | Uros Djurdjevic |
| Paulinho | 50% (3/6) | 25% (2/8) | Lucas Ocampos |
| Everardo Lopez | 22% (2/9) | 11% (1/9) | Jesus Corona |
| Jorge Diaz | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Ricardo Chavez |
| Jesus Angulo | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Roberto de la Rosa |
| Jesus Gallardo | 20% (1/5) | 17% (1/6) | Jorge Rodriguez |
| Francisco Cordova | 10% (1/10) | 20% (1/5) | Oliver Torres |
| Franco Rossi | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Antonio Briseno | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Fernando Arce | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Helinho | 17% (1/6) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Paulinho | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Uros Djurdjevic |
| Nicolas Castro | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Roberto de la Rosa |
| Everardo Lopez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Lucas Ocampos |
| Antonio Briseno | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jesus Corona |
| Fernando Arce | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jorge Rodriguez |
| Franco Rossi | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Oliver Torres |
| Francisco Cordova | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ricardo Chavez |
| Jesus Gallardo | ⚽1 | ||
| Jorge Diaz | ⚽1 | ||
| Jesus Angulo | ⚽1 | ||
| Helinho | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 60% | 80% |
2.5 | 30% | 50% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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