Real Oviedo - Almeria: our prediction
11/06/2025•21:00
Real Oviedo
1:1
(0:1)
Finished
Almeria
-
1
-
X
-
2
Real Oviedo vs Almeria Preview — LaLiga2 Playoff
Real Oviedo hosts Almeria in the LaLiga 2 playoffs. Oviedo, the bookmakers' favorite, shows solid home form with 7 wins in their last 10 matches. Almeria, less effective away, nevertheless has a more prolific attack. The match could be tight with a significant defensive stake.
Our Real Oviedo vs Almeria predictions
Real Oviedo to Win
Real Oviedo is the designated favorite (odds 2.03). In their last 10 matches, they have won 7 times (70%) and suffered no defeats. At home, their form is excellent. Almeria has lost 4 of their last 10 matches and is less effective away. The 'nepredpasfav' indicator shows Oviedo has not lost when favored in their last 5 relevant matches. No major absences reported.
2.14
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics from the last 10 matches strongly support this scenario. For Oviedo, the 'under25' bet succeeded 6 times out of 10 (60%). For Almeria, it succeeded 3 times out of 10 (30%), but the playoff context and Oviedo's defensive strength at home (5 clean sheets in 10) point towards a low-scoring match. Only 40% of Oviedo's matches saw over 2.5 goals. The high stakes favor caution.
1.62
Confidence
High
Real Oviedo - Under 1.5 goals
Although Oviedo is favored to win, their attack is not explosive. The 'parou15' bet (Oviedo scores over 1.5 goals) succeeded only 4 times in the last 10 matches (40%). In contrast, 'underparou15' succeeded 6 times (60%). They scored 1 goal or less in 6 of their last 10 matches. Facing an Almeria team that needs to be solid, a narrow win (1-0, 2-0) is more likely than an offensive festival. This bet is compatible with an Oviedo win and an under 2.5 match.
1.5
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Real Oviedo vs Almeria
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Real Oviedo vs Almeria Statistics
Win
Win | 7 3 | 5 1 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 71% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 100% | 71% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 40% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 40% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 60% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 10% |
2nd half | 50% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Vinas | 33% (3/9) | 40% (4/10) | Adrian Embarba |
| Ilyas Chaira | 30% (3/10) | 30% (3/10) | Miguel de la Fuente |
| Alberto Reina | 10% (1/10) | 30% (3/10) | Sergio Arribas |
25% (2/8) | Leo Baptistao | ||
13% (1/8) | Nico Ribaudo | ||
10% (1/10) | Jon Morcillo | ||
10% (1/10) | Alex Munoz |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Vinas | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | Sergio Arribas |
| Ilyas Chaira | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Adrian Embarba |
| Alberto Reina | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Miguel de la Fuente |
⚽⚽2 | Leo Baptistao | ||
⚽1 | Alex Munoz | ||
⚽1 | Jon Morcillo | ||
⚽1 | Nico Ribaudo |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 60% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 100% |
1.5 | 60% | 70% |
2.5 | 30% | 20% |
3.5 | 10% | 20% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
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