Inter vs Roma — Prediction
05/04/2026•20:45
Inter
5:2
(2:1)
Finished
Roma
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Inter, favored by bookmakers with odds at 1.62, hosts Roma at home. In their last 10 matches, Inter has won 4 times, drawn 3 times, and lost 3 times, while Roma has won 3 times, drawn 4 times, and lost 3 times. Recent statistics show a trend towards matches with under 2.5 goals for Inter (6/10) and a high rate of matches where both teams score for Roma (6/10).
Our predictions
Inter Win
Inter is clearly favored at home with a low odds of 1.62. In the last 10 matches, Inter has won 40% of its encounters, a solid rate. Roma, away, has a win rate of only 30% over the same period. Inter benefits from home advantage and a more regular attack. No information on major absences was found in the provided data, which strengthens the probability of a home win.
1.62
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Goals
Statistics from the last 10 matches show a strong trend towards matches with under 2.5 goals for Inter (6/10, i.e., 60%). For Roma, this scenario occurred in 40% of cases (4/10). Overall, both teams have relatively low 'over25' indicators (Inter 4/10, Roma 6/10). Serie A matches between teams of this caliber are often tight. The most likely scenario is a narrow Inter win (e.g., 2-1 or 1-0), which validates 'under25'.
1.84
Confidence
High
Both Teams to Score
Roma has a high rate of matches where both teams score (6/10, i.e., 60%). Inter, on the other hand, has this scenario in 50% of its recent matches (5/10). Inter's defense has kept a clean sheet in 40% of its matches (4/10), but Roma has scored in 90% of its matches (9/10 on the 'parou05' indicator). The combination of Roma's attack and the possibility of Inter conceding at home makes this bet plausible.
1.88
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 2 3 | 2 4 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 70% | 63% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 67% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 25% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 20% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 60% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 40% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 0% |
2nd half | 50% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Francesco Pio Esposito | 30% (3/10) | 56% (5/9) | Donyell Malen |
| Manuel Akanji | 22% (2/9) | 44% (4/9) | Evan N'Dicka |
| Yann Aurel Bisseck | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Lorenzo Pellegrini |
| Henrikh Mkhitaryan | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Niccolo Pisilli |
| Federico Dimarco | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Wesley |
| Luis Henrique | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Jan Ziolkowski |
| Marcus Thuram | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Bryan Cristante |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 20% (1/5) | ||
| Ange-Yoan Bonny | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Lautaro Martinez | 20% (1/5) | ||
| Piotr Zielinski | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Alessandro Bastoni | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Andy Diouf | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Francesco Pio Esposito | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | Donyell Malen |
| Manuel Akanji | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Evan N'Dicka |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Lorenzo Pellegrini |
| Marcus Thuram | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Niccolo Pisilli |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Bryan Cristante |
| Luis Henrique | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jan Ziolkowski |
| Yann Aurel Bisseck | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Wesley |
| Henrikh Mkhitaryan | ⚽1 | ||
| Federico Dimarco | ⚽1 | ||
| Andy Diouf | ⚽1 | ||
| Lautaro Martinez | ⚽1 | ||
| Piotr Zielinski | ⚽1 | ||
| Alessandro Bastoni | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 40% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 90% |
1.5 | 60% | 60% |
2.5 | 30% | 20% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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