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Inter - Cagliari: our prediction

17/04/2026•20:45

Inter

3:0

(0:0)

Finished

Cagliari

Inter vs Cagliari Preview — Serie A

Inter, the home favorite, faces Cagliari, an underdog struggling away. Recent statistics show a solid but inconsistent Milan side, while Cagliari finds it hard to win on the road. The match could be dominated by Inter, with an attack capable of scoring multiple goals.

Our Inter vs Cagliari predictions

Under 2.5 goals in the match

The statistics from the last 10 matches of both teams support this bet. For Inter, 6 of its last 10 matches ended with under 2.5 goals (60%). For Cagliari, it's also 6 matches out of 10 (60%). Cagliari's attack is weak away (only 1 time over 1.5 goals per team in 10 matches). Inter, although favorite, has scored over 1.5 goals per team in only 4 of its last 10 matches (40%). The probability of a match with fewer than 3 goals is high.

2.42

Confidence

High

Inter Win

Inter is clearly the favorite (odds 1.20). In the last 10 matches, Inter has won 4 times (40%) and lost only 3 times (30%). At home, against a Cagliari that has lost 6 of its last 10 matches (60%) and hardly ever wins as an underdog (0 wins in 7 matches), an Inter victory is the most likely scenario. Inter's defense (3 clean sheets in 10) could contain Cagliari's limited attack.

1.21

Confidence

High

Market signals on Inter vs Cagliari

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Inter vs Cagliari Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Inter	Cagliari
Win	4 3 3	2 2 6
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	70%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	50%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	33%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	67%
Win by being a favorite	40%	67%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	29%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	40% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	10% 90%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	10%
2nd half	40%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Marcus Thuram	56% (5/9)	33% (3/9)	Sebastiano Esposito
Lautaro Martinez	38% (3/8)	33% (2/6)	Gennaro Borrelli
Petar Sucic	22% (2/9)	10% (1/10)	Juan Rodriguez
Nicolo Barella	20% (2/10)	50% (1/2)	Leonardo Pavoletti
Henrikh Mkhitaryan	20% (2/10)	10% (1/10)	Yerry Mina
Hakan Calhanoglu	25% (2/8)	10% (1/10)	Paul Mendy
Andy Diouf	10% (1/10)
Denzel Dumfries	11% (1/9)
Federico Dimarco	10% (1/10)
Piotr Zielinski	10% (1/10)
Yann Aurel Bisseck	14% (1/7)
Francesco Pio Esposito	11% (1/9)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Marcus Thuram	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	⚽⚽⚽3	Sebastiano Esposito
Lautaro Martinez	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽2	Paul Mendy
Hakan Calhanoglu	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Gennaro Borrelli
Denzel Dumfries	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Leonardo Pavoletti
Henrikh Mkhitaryan	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Juan Rodriguez
Petar Sucic	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Yerry Mina
Nicolo Barella	⚽⚽2
Andy Diouf	⚽1
Piotr Zielinski	⚽1
Yann Aurel Bisseck	⚽1
Francesco Pio Esposito	⚽1
Federico Dimarco	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	70%	70%
Over corners 7.5	50%	70%
Over corners 8.5	40%	60%
Over corners 9.5	40%	20%
Over corners 10.5	40%	10%
Over corners 11.5	30%	0%
Over corners 12.5	10%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	60%
Over corners 3.5	60%	40%
Over corners 4.5	60%	40%
Over corners 5.5	50%	30%
Over corners 6.5	40%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	70%	70%
1.5	60%	60%
2.5	30%	40%
3.5	10%	20%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	10%	0%

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