Roma - Atalanta: our prediction
18/04/2026•20:45
Roma
1:1
(1:1)
Finished
Atalanta
-
1
-
X
-
2
Roma vs Atalanta Preview — Serie A
Roma hosts Atalanta in a tight Serie A match. Both teams show strong offensive statistics, with a high tendency for goals. Roma, a slight favorite at home, has a less solid defense than Atalanta. An open match with goals from both sides is expected.
Our Roma vs Atalanta predictions
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, Roma has seen both teams score in 70% of cases (7/10) and Atalanta also in 70% of cases (7/10). Both attacks are effective: Donyell Malen (8 goals) for Roma, Gianluca Scamacca and Mario Pasalic (3 goals each) for Atalanta. The defenses are permeable (Roma: 30% clean sheets; Atalanta: 20%). The historical trend and current form strongly support this scenario.
1.68
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
Offensive statistics are very convincing: Roma has exceeded 2.5 goals in 80% of its last 10 matches (8/10) and Atalanta in 70% (7/10). The average goals per match is high for both. The 'over 2.5' indicator is one of the strongest in the dataset. With in-form attacks and defenses that regularly concede, a match with 3 or more goals is likely.
1.89
Confidence
High
Roma scores over 1.5 goals
At home and favored by bookmakers (odds at 2.45), Roma has scored over 1.5 goals in 60% of its last 10 matches (6/10). Its attack is led by Donyell Malen (8 goals). Facing an Atalanta defense that has conceded at least one goal in 80% of its recent matches, Roma has the means to score at least two goals. The combination with 'Both Teams to Score' and 'Over 2.5 goals' is logical and consistent.
2.22
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Roma vs Atalanta
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Roma vs Atalanta Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 4 3 | 3 3 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 86% | 83% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 43% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 25% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 70% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 10% |
2nd half | 70% | 80% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Donyell Malen | 50% (5/10) | 30% (3/10) | Giacomo Raspadori |
| Gianluca Mancini | 33% (3/9) | 20% (2/10) | Davide Zappacosta |
| Mario Hermoso | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Nikola Krstovic |
| Lorenzo Pellegrini | 50% (2/4) | 10% (1/10) | Mario Pasalic |
| Neil El Aynaoui | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Giorgio Scalvini |
| Wesley | 20% (1/5) | 13% (1/8) | Gianluca Scamacca |
| Stephan El Shaarawy | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Ederson |
| Robinio Vaz | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Niccolo Pisilli | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Devyne Rensch | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Evan N'Dicka | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Donyell Malen | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Giacomo Raspadori |
| Gianluca Mancini | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Davide Zappacosta |
| Lorenzo Pellegrini | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Gianluca Scamacca |
| Mario Hermoso | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Nikola Krstovic |
| Evan N'Dicka | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mario Pasalic |
| Neil El Aynaoui | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Giorgio Scalvini |
| Wesley | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ederson |
| Stephan El Shaarawy | ⚽1 | ||
| Robinio Vaz | ⚽1 | ||
| Niccolo Pisilli | ⚽1 | ||
| Devyne Rensch | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 90% |
1.5 | 50% | 40% |
2.5 | 20% | 10% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Roma
3-4-2-1CoachGian Piero Gasperini
Starting XI
Substitutes
Atalanta
3-4-2-1CoachRaffaele Palladino
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Inter | 71%(27/38) |
| 2 |  | SSC Napoli | 61%(23/38) |
| 3 | | Roma | 61%(23/38) |
| 4 |  | AC Milan | 53%(20/38) |
| 5 |  | Como | 53%(20/38) |
| 6 |  | Juventus | 50%(19/38) |
| 7 |  | Bologna | 42%(16/38) |
| 8 | | Atalanta | 39%(15/38) |
| 9 |  | Udinese | 37%(14/38) |
| 10 |  | Sassuolo | 37%(14/38) |
| 11 |  | Lazio | 37%(14/38) |
| 12 |  | Torino | 32%(12/38) |
| 13 |  | Cagliari | 29%(11/38) |
| 14 |  | Parma Calcio 1913 | 29%(11/38) |
| 15 |  | Genoa | 26%(10/38) |
| 16 |  | Lecce | 26%(10/38) |
| 17 |  | Fiorentina | 24%(9/38) |
| 18 |  | Cremonese | 21%(8/38) |
| 19 |  | Hellas Verona | 8%(3/38) |
| 20 |  | Pisa | 5%(2/38) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Serie A
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Serie A. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Serie A est l'une des compétitions majeures de Italy. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Serie A, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
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