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Genoa - Ac Milan: our prediction

17/05/2026•12:00

Genoa

1:2

(0:0)

Finished

AC Milan

Genoa vs AC Milan Preview — Serie A

AC Milan, the favorite, travels to Genoa to face a solid home side. Statistics show both teams often struggle to score, with a tendency for tight, low-scoring matches. Milan has a slight advantage but must be wary of Genoa's defense.

Our Genoa vs AC Milan predictions

Under 1.5 goals for Genoa

Genoa has chronic offensive difficulties, with less than 1.5 goals scored in 6 of their last 10 matches. Against a Milan team that, although inconsistent, possesses a quality defense, it is unlikely that Genoa will score more than one goal.

1.75

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 1.5 goals for AC Milan

AC Milan, despite their favorite status, have shown offensive difficulties recently. They have scored less than 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 matches. Against a Genoa defense that is solid at home, it is likely that Milan will not exceed this goal total.

1.75

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 2.5 goals

Statistics show a strong trend towards low-scoring matches for both teams. Genoa has seen under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 matches, and Milan also in 7. The odds of 1.75 for this market are attractive. The match promises to be tight, with few chances.

1.85

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Genoa vs AC Milan

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Genoa vs AC Milan Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Genoa	AC Milan
Win	4 2 4	4 1 5
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	75%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	75%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	75%	0%
Win by being a favorite	75%	38%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	17%	50%
Win by being an outsider	17%	50%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	20% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	10% 90%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	40%
2nd half	40%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Vitinha	20% (2/10)	22% (2/9)	Adrien Rabiot
Caleb Ekuban	11% (1/9)	20% (2/10)	Strahinja Pavlovic
Jeff Ekhator	10% (1/10)	20% (2/10)	Christopher Nkunku
Leo Oestigard	11% (1/9)	11% (1/9)	Pervis Estupinan
Lorenzo Colombo	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Zachary Athekame
Junior Messias	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Youssouf Fofana
Ruslan Malinovsky	11% (1/9)
Johan Vasquez	10% (1/10)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Vitinha	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Adrien Rabiot
Jeff Ekhator	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Christopher Nkunku
Leo Oestigard	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Strahinja Pavlovic
Ruslan Malinovsky	⚽1	⚽1	Zachary Athekame
Johan Vasquez	⚽1	⚽1	Pervis Estupinan
Lorenzo Colombo	⚽1	⚽1	Youssouf Fofana
Junior Messias	⚽1
Caleb Ekuban	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	70%
Over corners 7.5	70%	30%
Over corners 8.5	40%	30%
Over corners 9.5	30%	30%
Over corners 10.5	10%	10%
Over corners 11.5	10%	10%
Over corners 12.5	0%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	60%	60%
Over corners 3.5	40%	40%
Over corners 4.5	40%	20%
Over corners 5.5	10%	20%
Over corners 6.5	10%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	70%
1.5	10%	50%
2.5	0%	30%
3.5	0%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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