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Juventus - Fiorentina: our prediction

17/05/2026•12:00

Juventus

0:2

(0:1)

Finished

Fiorentina

Juventus vs Fiorentina Preview — Serie A

Juventus, heavy favorites at home with odds of 1.32, face Fiorentina. Statistics show a solid Juventus defense (7 clean sheets in 10 matches) and an attack that scores regularly (9 matches out of 10 with at least one goal). Fiorentina, on the other hand, struggles away from home and has won only one of its last 6 matches as an underdog. The match is expected to be dominated by Juventus.

Our Juventus vs Fiorentina predictions

Juventus Victory

Juventus is the heavy favorite (odds at 1.32) and plays at home. In their last 10 matches, they have won 6, including 6 as the favorite. Their defense is solid (7 clean sheets) and their attack scores in 90% of matches. Fiorentina, away from home, has a record of 4 wins in 10 matches, but only 1 as an underdog. Juventus has a high win rate as a favorite, making this bet very solid.

1.3

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Under 1.5 goals for Fiorentina

Fiorentina has scored more than 1.5 goals in only 20% of their matches. Away from home, their offensive difficulty is even more pronounced. Facing Juventus' solid defense (7 clean sheets), it is very likely that Fiorentina will not score more than one goal, if any. This bet is perfectly consistent with the Juventus victory and the 'under 2.5 goals'.

1.55

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 2.5 goals

Juventus has a very solid defense (7 clean sheets in 10) and 80% of their matches have had under 2.5 goals. Fiorentina, meanwhile, has seen under 2.5 goals in 60% of their matches. Combined with Juventus' defensive solidity and Fiorentina's difficulty scoring away (only 6 matches out of 10 with more than 0.5 goals), this bet is consistent with a Juventus win without conceding.

2.4

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Juventus vs Fiorentina

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Juventus vs Fiorentina Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Juventus	Fiorentina
Win	6 4	4 4 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	50%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	80%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	100%	50%
Win by being a favorite	75%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	25%
Win by being an outsider	0%	25%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	70% 30%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	40% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	10% 90%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	40%
2nd half	30%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	20% 80%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Dusan Vlahovic	43% (3/7)	20% (2/10)	Cher Ndour
Jeremie Boga	20% (2/10)	11% (1/9)	Rolando Mandragora
Weston McKennie	11% (1/9)	11% (1/9)	Nicolo Fagioli
Jonathan David	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Jack Harrison
Kenan Yildiz	10% (1/10)	13% (1/8)	Roberto Piccoli
Khephren Thuram-Ulien	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Albert Gudmundsson
Gleison Bremer	11% (1/9)	11% (1/9)	Robin Gosens

Total goals per player

	1	2
Dusan Vlahovic	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽2	Cher Ndour
Jeremie Boga	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Nicolo Fagioli
Kenan Yildiz	⚽1	⚽1	Jack Harrison
Weston McKennie	⚽1	⚽1	Roberto Piccoli
Khephren Thuram-Ulien	⚽1	⚽1	Robin Gosens
Gleison Bremer	⚽1	⚽1	Rolando Mandragora
Jonathan David	⚽1	⚽1	Albert Gudmundsson

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	90%
Over corners 7.5	70%	50%
Over corners 8.5	40%	40%
Over corners 9.5	40%	30%
Over corners 10.5	30%	20%
Over corners 11.5	30%	0%
Over corners 12.5	30%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	70%
Over corners 3.5	70%	60%
Over corners 4.5	60%	50%
Over corners 5.5	50%	20%
Over corners 6.5	30%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	90%
1.5	30%	80%
2.5	30%	50%
3.5	10%	20%
4.5	0%	10%
5.5	0%	0%

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