Roma - Lazio: our prediction
17/05/2026•12:00
Roma
2:0
(1:0)
Finished
Lazio
-
1
-
X
-
2
Roma vs Lazio Preview — Serie A
Roma, the home favorite, faces Lazio in the Roman derby. Roma has won 5 of their last 10 matches, with a tendency to score (10/10) and for both teams to score (6/10). Lazio has won 4 of their last 10 matches but has shown defensive frailties, conceding in 7 of their last 10 outings. The odds (1.52 - 4.00 - 5.80) make Roma the clear favorite.
Our Roma vs Lazio predictions
Over 1.5 goals in the match
Both teams have a strong tendency to score. Roma has scored in 10 of their last 10 matches, while Lazio has conceded in 7 of their last 10. Furthermore, 9 of Roma's last 10 matches and 8 of Lazio's last 10 have seen over 1.5 goals. This derby promises to be open.
1.28
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Both teams to score
This bet is compatible with a Roma win and over 1.5 goals. Roma has seen both teams score in 6 of their last 10 matches. Lazio has conceded in 7 of their last 10 matches, and both teams have scored in 4 of their last 10 outings. Roma's offensive trend and Lazio's defensive weakness make this scenario likely.
1.98
Confidence
High (65 %)
Roma to win
Roma is the favorite with odds of 1.52. They have won 5 of their last 10 matches and 5 of their last 8 as a favorite. Playing at home gives them a clear advantage. Lazio, while competitive, has lost 3 of their last 10 matches and shown defensive vulnerabilities. Roma's form and favorite status justify this bet.
1.5
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Roma vs Lazio
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Roma vs Lazio Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 3 2 | 4 3 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 63% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 57% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 43% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 43% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 40% |
2nd half | 50% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Donyell Malen | 50% (5/10) | 20% (2/10) | Gustav Isaksen |
| Gianluca Mancini | 33% (3/9) | 20% (2/10) | Pedro Rodriguez |
| Mario Hermoso | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Tijjani Noslin |
| Lorenzo Pellegrini | 50% (2/4) | 10% (1/10) | Fisayo Dele-Bashiru |
| Devyne Rensch | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Kenneth Taylor |
| Stephan El Shaarawy | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Daniel Maldini |
| Wesley | 20% (1/5) | 11% (1/9) | Matteo Cancellieri |
| Robinio Vaz | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Alessio Romagnoli |
| Niccolo Pisilli | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Luca Pellegrini |
| Evan N'Dicka | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Toma Basic |
| Neil El Aynaoui | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Donyell Malen | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8 | ⚽⚽2 | Tijjani Noslin |
| Gianluca Mancini | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Gustav Isaksen |
| Lorenzo Pellegrini | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Pedro Rodriguez |
| Mario Hermoso | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Toma Basic |
| Robinio Vaz | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alessio Romagnoli |
| Niccolo Pisilli | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Fisayo Dele-Bashiru |
| Devyne Rensch | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Matteo Cancellieri |
| Evan N'Dicka | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Daniel Maldini |
| Neil El Aynaoui | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Kenneth Taylor |
| Wesley | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Luca Pellegrini |
| Stephan El Shaarawy | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 60% | 80% |
2.5 | 20% | 40% |
3.5 | 0% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers