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Everton - Liverpool: our prediction

19/04/2026•15:00

Everton

1:2

(0:1)

Finished

Liverpool

Everton vs Liverpool Preview — Premier League

Everton hosts Liverpool in a Premier League derby. Liverpool is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 2.3, while Everton is at 3.1 and the draw at 3.3. Over the last 10 matches, Liverpool has won 30% of its games as favorite, while Everton has won 40% of its matches. Statistics show both teams score in 60% of Everton's matches and 40% of Liverpool's. The 'Over 2.5 goals' bet has occurred 5 times out of 10 for each team.

Our Everton vs Liverpool predictions

Liverpool Win

Liverpool is clearly the bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.3). Over the last 10 matches, Liverpool has won 30% of its matches as favorite (3 wins out of 8 occasions). Everton, at home, has won 40% of its last 10 matches but suffered 3 defeats. Liverpool's offensive form, with Salah as a regular scorer, and Everton's sometimes fragile defense (clean sheet only 2 times in 10) lean towards an away win.

2.22

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Goals

The 'Over 2.5 goals' bet has occurred 5 times in Everton's last 10 matches (50%) and also 5 times in Liverpool's last 10 matches (50%). This indicates a balanced trend. With the prediction of a Liverpool win and both teams scoring, a scoreline like 1-2 or 1-3 fits this scenario perfectly. Liverpool's attack (Salah, Szoboszlai) and Everton's ability to score at home (goals in 80% of its recent home matches) support this option.

1.8

Confidence

Medium

Both Teams to Score

Over the last 10 matches, Everton has seen both teams score in 60% of its encounters (6/10). Liverpool, to a lesser extent, has seen this scenario occur in 40% of its matches (4/10). Everton at home has scored in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). Liverpool away has scored in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). Everton's defense has kept a clean sheet only 2 times in 10, and Liverpool's also 2 times in 10. Therefore, there is a significant probability that each team will find the back of the net.

1.62

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Everton vs Liverpool

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Everton vs Liverpool Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Everton	Liverpool
Win	4 3 3	3 1 6
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	67%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	0%
Win by being a favorite	33%	38%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	71%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	43%	0%
Win by being an outsider	43%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	40% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	30%
2nd half	60%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Beto	40% (4/10)	20% (2/10)	Virgil van Dijk
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall	30% (3/10)	25% (2/8)	Mohamed Salah
James Tarkowski	22% (2/9)	10% (1/10)	Curtis Jones
Merlin Roehl	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Florian Wirtz
Thierno Barry	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Ryan Gravenberch
Iliman Ndiaye	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Rio Ngumoha
Jake O'Brien	10% (1/10)	13% (1/8)	Alexander Isak
		10% (1/10)	Dominik Szoboszlai
		10% (1/10)	Andrew Robertson
		10% (1/10)	Cody Gakpo

Total goals per player

	1	2
Beto	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽3	Virgil van Dijk
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Mohamed Salah
James Tarkowski	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Florian Wirtz
Thierno Barry	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Cody Gakpo
Jake O'Brien	⚽1	⚽1	Rio Ngumoha
Iliman Ndiaye	⚽1	⚽1	Andrew Robertson
Merlin Roehl	⚽1	⚽1	Dominik Szoboszlai
		⚽1	Curtis Jones
		⚽1	Alexander Isak
		⚽1	Ryan Gravenberch

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	80%
Over corners 7.5	80%	70%
Over corners 8.5	70%	60%
Over corners 9.5	40%	60%
Over corners 10.5	40%	50%
Over corners 11.5	20%	30%
Over corners 12.5	0%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	80%
Over corners 3.5	50%	70%
Over corners 4.5	40%	60%
Over corners 5.5	40%	60%
Over corners 6.5	20%	40%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	70%	70%
1.5	50%	50%
2.5	20%	30%
3.5	10%	20%
4.5	10%	10%
5.5	0%	0%

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