AFC Bournemouth - Crystal Palace: our prediction
03/05/2026•15:00
AFC Bournemouth
3:0
(2:0)
Finished
Crystal Palace
-
1
-
X
-
2
AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace Preview — Premier League
AFC Bournemouth, the favorite, hosts Crystal Palace. Bournemouth is unbeaten in their last 10 matches (3 wins, 7 draws), while Palace has shown inconsistent form away from home. Both teams have a high tendency to score (BTS 70% for Bournemouth, 60% for Palace).
Our AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace predictions
Over 1.5 goals in the match
This bet is very strongly supported by the data. Bournemouth has seen over 1.5 goals in 70% of their matches, and Palace also in 70%. Combined with the high probability of BTS (70% and 60%), it is very likely that the match will exceed 1.5 goals. Both teams have shown an ability to score and concede.
1.19
Confidence
Very high
Both teams to score
Bournemouth has seen both teams score in 70% of their last 10 matches, and Palace in 60%. Both teams have attacks capable of scoring, as evidenced by the goalscorers (Kroupi, Sarr). Furthermore, Bournemouth has only kept a clean sheet 3 times in 10, and Palace 4 times. BTS is therefore a very solid bet.
1.68
Confidence
High
Crystal Palace - Under 1.5 goals
Although Palace has a decent attack (Sarr in form), they have scored under 1.5 goals in 60% of their matches. Bournemouth has a defense that can be solid, not conceding in 30% of their matches. Combined with the fact that Bournemouth is the favorite and could control the game, it is plausible that Palace will not exceed 1.5 goals. This is a value bet with an interesting odd.
4.1
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
AFC Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 7 | 4 4 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 86% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 25% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 29% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 60% | 67% |
Win by being an outsider | 60% | 67% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 60% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 30% |
2nd half | 40% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Junior Kroupi | 50% (5/10) | 40% (4/10) | Ismaila Sarr |
| Rayan | 30% (3/10) | 30% (3/10) | Jean-Philippe Mateta |
| Marcus Tavernier | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Joergen Strand Larsen |
| Ryan Christie | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Daniel Munoz |
| Adrien Truffert | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Daichi Kamada |
| Alex Scott | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Adam Wharton |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Junior Kroupi | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Ismaila Sarr |
| Rayan | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Jean-Philippe Mateta |
| Marcus Tavernier | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Daichi Kamada |
| Adrien Truffert | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Daniel Munoz |
| Ryan Christie | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Adam Wharton |
| Alex Scott | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Joergen Strand Larsen |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 70% | 70% |
2.5 | 50% | 40% |
3.5 | 30% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
AFC Bournemouth
4-2-3-1CoachAndoni Iraola
Starting XI
Substitutes
Crystal Palace
3-4-3CoachOliver Glasner
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Arsenal | 68%(26/38) |
| 2 |  | Manchester City | 61%(23/38) |
| 3 |  | Manchester United | 53%(20/38) |
| 4 |  | Aston Villa | 50%(19/38) |
| 5 |  | Liverpool | 45%(17/38) |
| 6 |  | Fulham | 39%(15/38) |
| 7 |  | Chelsea | 37%(14/38) |
| 8 |  | Sunderland | 37%(14/38) |
| 9 |  | Brentford | 37%(14/38) |
| 10 |  | Brighton & Hove Albion | 37%(14/38) |
| 11 |  | Newcastle United | 37%(14/38) |
| 12 | | AFC Bournemouth | 34%(13/38) |
| 13 |  | Everton | 34%(13/38) |
| 14 |  | Leeds United | 29%(11/38) |
| 15 | | Crystal Palace | 29%(11/38) |
| 16 |  | Nottingham Forest | 29%(11/38) |
| 17 |  | Tottenham Hotspur | 26%(10/38) |
| 18 |  | West Ham United | 26%(10/38) |
| 19 |  | Burnley | 11%(4/38) |
| 20 |  | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 8%(3/38) |
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