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Hajduk Split - NK Varazdin: our prediction

03/05/2026•18:45

Hajduk Split

3:1

(2:1)

Finished

NK Varazdin

Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin Preview — HNL

Hajduk Split, the favorite, hosts NK Varazdin. Hajduk has a 40% win rate in their last 10 matches, while Varazdin has only one away win in the same period. Both teams score frequently (60% for Hajduk, 70% for Varazdin).

Our Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin predictions

Over 1.5 goals in the match

Statistics show that 70% of Hajduk's matches and 90% of Varazdin's matches have gone over 1.5 goals. Combined with both teams' tendency to score, it is highly likely that the match will have at least 2 goals. The odds of 1.5 for this bet are also very attractive.

1.18

Confidence

Very high

Hajduk Split to win

Hajduk Split is the logical favorite with odds of 1.5. Although their recent form is average (40% wins), they are playing at home against a Varazdin team that has very little success away from home (1 win in 10 matches). The 'winning favorite' statistics show that Hajduk has won 4 out of 7 times as a favorite. Hajduk's victory is therefore the most likely scenario.

1.44

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

Both teams have a strong tendency to score: Hajduk in 60% of their matches and Varazdin in 70%. Offensive and defensive statistics suggest that both teams should find the back of the net. Hajduk is the favorite but their defense is leaky (7 out of 10 games without a clean sheet). Varazdin, although weaker, scores regularly.

1.71

Confidence

High

Market signals on Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Hajduk Split	NK Varazdin
Win	4 3 3	4 3 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	86%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	67%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	67%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	75%
Win by being a favorite	57%	75%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	33%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	17%
Win by being an outsider	0%	17%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	70% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	50%
2nd half	40%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	50% 50%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Marko Livaja	33% (3/9)	33% (3/9)	Aleksa Latkovic
Ante Rebic	29% (2/7)	20% (2/10)	Luka Mamic
Michele Sego	25% (2/8)	20% (2/10)	Iuri Tavares
Iker Almena	29% (2/7)	13% (1/8)	Matej Vuk
Roko Brajkovic	20% (2/10)	11% (1/9)	Antonio Borsic
Rokas Pukstas	20% (2/10)	10% (1/10)	David Puclin
Abdoulie Sanyang	10% (1/10)	25% (1/4)	Ivan Mamut
Adam Guram	11% (1/9)	33% (1/3)	Stipe Juric
Adrion Pajaziti	11% (1/9)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Marko Livaja	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Aleksa Latkovic
Michele Sego	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Iuri Tavares
Rokas Pukstas	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Luka Mamic
Ante Rebic	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Antonio Borsic
Iker Almena	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Stipe Juric
Roko Brajkovic	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Ivan Mamut
Adrion Pajaziti	⚽1	⚽1	David Puclin
Abdoulie Sanyang	⚽1	⚽1	Matej Vuk
Adam Guram	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	60%	80%
Over corners 7.5	60%	70%
Over corners 8.5	50%	60%
Over corners 9.5	50%	50%
Over corners 10.5	40%	40%
Over corners 11.5	40%	30%
Over corners 12.5	40%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	40%	50%
Over corners 3.5	40%	20%
Over corners 4.5	40%	10%
Over corners 5.5	30%	10%
Over corners 6.5	30%	0%

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