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Sparta Rotterdam - Excelsior: our prediction

17/05/2026•14:30

Sparta Rotterdam

2:3

(0:1)

Finished

Excelsior

Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior Preview — Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam, home favorite, faces Excelsior. Statistics show a trend towards goals from both sides, with fragile defenses.

Our Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior predictions

Excelsior scores over 0.5 goals

Excelsior has scored in 80% of its matches, and Sparta has conceded in 80% of its matches. The probability of Excelsior scoring at least one goal is very high. Additionally, Excelsior has scored in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%). The odds of 1.40 are very attractive for this high-confidence bet.

1.25

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Both teams to score

Sparta Rotterdam has seen both teams score in 50% of its matches, Excelsior in 70%. Both teams have leaky defenses, with 80% of Sparta's matches and 90% of Excelsior's seeing them concede at least one goal. The odds (2.05 for Sparta, 3.82 for draw, 3.05 for Excelsior) suggest a close match. No major injuries reported.

1.46

Confidence

High (65 %)

Over 2.5 goals

Sparta Rotterdam has gone over 2.5 goals in 60% of its matches, Excelsior also in 60%. Both teams tend to play open games, with attacks capable of scoring (Sparta scored in 60% of matches, Excelsior in 80%). The odds for this bet are attractive. No major absences.

1.53

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Sparta Rotterdam	Excelsior
Win	1 3 6	2 3 5
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	0%
Win by being a favorite	33%	0%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	14%	43%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	29%
Win by being an outsider	0%	29%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	10% 90%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	70% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	10%
2nd half	60%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Milan Zonneveld	30% (3/10)	40% (4/10)	Derensili Sanches Fernandes
Shunsuke Mito	20% (2/10)	30% (3/10)	Noah Naujoks
Tobias Lauritsen	20% (2/10)	22% (2/9)	Arthur Zagre
Mitchell van Bergen	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Szymon Wlodarczyk
Ayoni Santos	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Gyan de Regt
		10% (1/10)	Irakli Yegoian
		10% (1/10)	Lennard Hartjes
		10% (1/10)	Casper Widell

Total goals per player

	1	2
Milan Zonneveld	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Derensili Sanches Fernandes
Shunsuke Mito	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Noah Naujoks
Tobias Lauritsen	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Arthur Zagre
Mitchell van Bergen	⚽1	⚽1	Irakli Yegoian
Ayoni Santos	⚽1	⚽1	Casper Widell
		⚽1	Szymon Wlodarczyk
		⚽1	Gyan de Regt
		⚽1	Lennard Hartjes

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	80%
Over corners 7.5	90%	50%
Over corners 8.5	80%	40%
Over corners 9.5	60%	30%
Over corners 10.5	50%	30%
Over corners 11.5	20%	30%
Over corners 12.5	20%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	70%
Over corners 3.5	50%	50%
Over corners 4.5	50%	50%
Over corners 5.5	40%	30%
Over corners 6.5	10%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	70%
1.5	70%	0%
2.5	20%	0%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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