Rugby

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Millwall - Derby County: our prediction

10/03/2026•20:45

Millwall

1:0

(1:0)

Finished

Derby County

Millwall vs Derby County Preview — Championship

Millwall hosts Derby County in the Championship. Millwall is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.95. In their last 10 matches, Millwall has 7 wins and 2 defeats, while Derby County has 6 wins and 3 defeats. Recent statistics show that both teams score regularly (BTS at 50% for Millwall, 60% for Derby) and that the 'Over 2.5 goals' bet has occurred 6 times in 10 for each. No information on major absences was found in the provided data.

Our Millwall vs Derby County predictions

Millwall Win

Millwall, at home, is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.95). In the last 10 matches, they show solid form with 7 wins (70%) and only 2 defeats. Their performance as favorites is good (5 wins in 7 matches where they were favored). Against a Derby County that has lost 3 of its last 10 matches and is less performant away (3 wins in 10 away matches from context), Millwall has the means to win.

1.97

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Goals

This bet has occurred in 6 of Millwall's last 10 matches (60%) and also in 6 of Derby County's last 10 (60%). The attacks are productive: Millwall scores regularly (7 times 'parou15' out of 10) and Derby too (6 times 'parou15' out of 10). The defenses are not impenetrable (clean sheet at 50% and 30%). The offensive dynamic of both teams, combined with the frequent 'Both Teams to Score' statistic, favors a match with at least 3 goals.

1.94

Confidence

High

Both Teams to Score

The statistics of the last 10 matches support this scenario: Millwall saw both teams score in 5 of its last 10 matches (50%), and Derby County in 6 of its last 10 (60%). Neither defense is particularly tight (clean sheet at 50% for Millwall, 30% for Derby). The attacks are active: Millwall scored at least 1 goal in 9 of its last 10 (indicator 'parou05' at 100%), Derby in 9 of its last 10 as well. A Millwall win with goals from both sides is a plausible scenario.

1.75

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Millwall vs Derby County

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Millwall vs Derby County Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Millwall	Derby County
Win	7 1 2	6 1 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	86%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	60%	67%
Win by being a favorite	71%	75%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	67%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	67%	50%
Win by being an outsider	67%	50%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	60% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	70% 30%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	30%
2nd half	50%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Josh Coburn	33% (3/9)	30% (3/10)	Jaydon Banel
Femi Azeez	20% (2/10)	25% (2/8)	Sammie Szmodics
Camiel Neghli	20% (2/10)	20% (2/10)	Carlton Morris
Mihailo Ivanovic	10% (1/10)	33% (1/3)	Rhian Brewster
Macaulay Langstaff	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	David Ozoh
Derek Mazou-Sacko	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Oscar Fraulo
		11% (1/9)	Ben Brereton Diaz
		17% (1/6)	Sondre Klingen Langaas

Total goals per player

	1	2
Josh Coburn	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Jaydon Banel
Femi Azeez	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Carlton Morris
Camiel Neghli	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Ben Brereton Diaz
Mihailo Ivanovic	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Sammie Szmodics
Derek Mazou-Sacko	⚽1	⚽1	Sondre Klingen Langaas
Macaulay Langstaff	⚽1	⚽1	Rhian Brewster
		⚽1	David Ozoh
		⚽1	Oscar Fraulo

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	60%
Over corners 7.5	80%	50%
Over corners 8.5	60%	30%
Over corners 9.5	40%	30%
Over corners 10.5	30%	10%
Over corners 11.5	30%	10%
Over corners 12.5	20%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	50%
Over corners 3.5	80%	30%
Over corners 4.5	60%	30%
Over corners 5.5	60%	30%
Over corners 6.5	20%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	100%
1.5	70%	80%
2.5	30%	30%
3.5	20%	10%
4.5	0%	10%
5.5	0%	0%

11.05.26

Millwall

Hull City

08.05.26

Hull City

Millwall

02.05.26

Millwall

Oxford United

24.04.26

Leicester City

Millwall

21.04.26

Stoke City

Millwall

18.04.26

Millwall

Queens Park Rangers

10.04.26

West Bromwich Albion

Millwall

06.04.26

Millwall

Norwich City

03.04.26

Middlesbrough

Millwall

21.03.26

Ipswich Town

Millwall

Lineups

Millwall

4-4-2

CoachAlex Neil

Starting XI

Substitutes

Derby County

4-2-3-1

CoachJohn Eustace

Starting XI

Substitutes

Ranking by bet

#	Team	Success
1	Coventry City	61%(28/46)
2	Millwall	50%(24/48)
3	Ipswich Town	49%(23/47)
4	Hull City	47%(23/49)
5	Middlesbrough	45%(22/49)
6	Southampton	46%(22/48)
7	Derby County	43%(20/46)
8	Norwich City	41%(19/46)
9	Wrexham	41%(19/46)
10	Swansea City	39%(18/46)
11	Sheffield United	39%(18/46)
12	Birmingham City	37%(17/46)
13	Bristol City	37%(17/46)
14	Queens Park Rangers	35%(16/46)
15	Blackburn Rovers	31%(15/48)
16	Stoke City	33%(15/46)
17	Preston North End	33%(15/46)
18	Portsmouth	30%(14/47)
19	Watford	30%(14/46)
20	Charlton Athletic	28%(13/47)
21	West Bromwich Albion	28%(13/46)
22	Leicester City	26%(12/46)
23	Oxford United	24%(11/46)
24	Sheffield Wednesday	4%(2/47)

Guide complet des paris sportifs - Championship

Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Championship. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.

Présentation de la compétition

Championship est l'une des compétitions majeures de England. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.

Types de paris populaires

Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :

Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
Paris sur le nombre de buts
Paris combinés
Paris en direct
Paris sur les buteurs

Facteurs clés à considérer

Pour réussir vos paris sur Championship, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :

Forme actuelle des équipes
Historique des confrontations directes
Blessures et suspensions
Conditions météorologiques
Enjeux du match

Stratégies de paris recommandées

Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :

Analyse approfondie des statistiques
Suivi des tendances de marché
Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
Diversification des types de paris

Outils et ressources

Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :

Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
Analyses statistiques détaillées
Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
Alertes de paris personnalisées

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