Southampton - Derby County: our prediction
11/04/2026•16:00
Southampton
2:1
(0:1)
Finished
Derby County
-
1
-
X
-
2
Southampton vs Derby County Preview — Championship
Southampton hosts Derby County in the Championship. The Saints are favorites with odds at 1.75, showing excellent recent form (8 wins in last 10 matches). Derby County, struggling away, has a vulnerable defense. The match should see Southampton dominate and score.
Our Southampton vs Derby County predictions
Southampton Win
Southampton shows exceptional form with 8 wins in their last 10 matches, undefeated. At home, their attack is effective (6 out of 10 matches with +1.5 goals). Derby County, struggling away, has conceded at least one goal in 6 of their last 10 matches. The technical superiority and confidence of the Saints should make the difference.
1.6
Confidence
Very high
Southampton scores +0.5 goals
Southampton has scored at least one goal in 100% of their last 10 matches (10/10). Their attack, with scorers like Stewart (4 goals), Matsuki (4 goals), and Azaz (3 goals), is consistent. Against a Derby defense that kept a clean sheet only 4 times in 10, the Saints should find the back of the net.
1.12
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics from the last 10 matches show Southampton had under 2.5 goals in 5/10 matches, and Derby County in 6/10. Southampton's solid defense (4 clean sheets in 10) and Derby's offensive struggles away (score in 8/10 but often only one goal) suggest a controlled match, potentially 2-0 or 2-1.
2.05
Confidence
High
Market signals on Southampton vs Derby County
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Southampton vs Derby County Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 8 2 | 6 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 67% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 100% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 100% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 50% |
2nd half | 50% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cyle Larin | 50% (5/10) | 30% (3/10) | Jaydon Banel |
| Ross Stewart | 40% (4/10) | 25% (2/8) | Sammie Szmodics |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Carlton Morris |
| Ryan Manning | 22% (2/9) | 11% (1/9) | Ben Brereton Diaz |
| Finn Azaz | 22% (2/9) | 33% (1/3) | Rhian Brewster |
| Cameron Archer | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | David Ozoh |
| Kuryu Matsuki | 14% (1/7) | 10% (1/10) | Oscar Fraulo |
| Shea Charles | 10% (1/10) | 17% (1/6) | Sondre Klingen Langaas |
| Flynn Downes | 17% (1/6) | ||
| Leo Scienza | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cyle Larin | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Jaydon Banel |
| Ross Stewart | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Ben Brereton Diaz |
| Cameron Archer | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Sammie Szmodics |
| Ryan Manning | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Carlton Morris |
| Finn Azaz | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Sondre Klingen Langaas |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Rhian Brewster |
| Flynn Downes | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | David Ozoh |
| Kuryu Matsuki | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Oscar Fraulo |
| Shea Charles | ⚽1 | ||
| Leo Scienza | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 20% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 20% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 90% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 70% | 80% |
2.5 | 30% | 30% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
Lineups
Southampton
4-2-3-1CoachTonda Eckert
Starting XI
Substitutes
Derby County
4-2-3-1CoachJohn Eustace
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Coventry City | 61%(28/46) |
| 2 |  | Millwall | 50%(24/48) |
| 3 |  | Ipswich Town | 49%(23/47) |
| 4 |  | Hull City | 47%(23/49) |
| 5 |  | Middlesbrough | 45%(22/49) |
| 6 | | Southampton | 46%(22/48) |
| 7 | | Derby County | 43%(20/46) |
| 8 |  | Norwich City | 41%(19/46) |
| 9 |  | Wrexham | 41%(19/46) |
| 10 |  | Swansea City | 39%(18/46) |
| 11 |  | Sheffield United | 39%(18/46) |
| 12 |  | Birmingham City | 37%(17/46) |
| 13 |  | Bristol City | 37%(17/46) |
| 14 |  | Queens Park Rangers | 35%(16/46) |
| 15 |  | Blackburn Rovers | 31%(15/48) |
| 16 |  | Stoke City | 33%(15/46) |
| 17 |  | Preston North End | 33%(15/46) |
| 18 |  | Portsmouth | 30%(14/47) |
| 19 |  | Watford | 30%(14/46) |
| 20 |  | Charlton Athletic | 28%(13/47) |
| 21 |  | West Bromwich Albion | 28%(13/46) |
| 22 |  | Leicester City | 26%(12/46) |
| 23 |  | Oxford United | 24%(11/46) |
| 24 |  | Sheffield Wednesday | 4%(2/47) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Championship
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Championship. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Championship est l'une des compétitions majeures de England. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Championship, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
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