Queens Park Rangers - Derby County: our prediction
25/04/2026•16:00
Queens Park Rangers
2:3
(1:1)
Finished
Derby County
-
1
-
X
-
2
Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County Preview — Championship
Queens Park Rangers host Derby County in this Championship match. Derby County is the favorite with odds at 2.22. Statistics show Derby County has won 6 of their last 10 matches, while QPR has only won 3. Both teams tend to score, with a 'Both Teams to Score' at 50% for both. No information on major injuries is available.
Our Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County predictions
Over 1.5 goals in the match
Statistics show a high probability of seeing at least 2 goals. QPR has seen over 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches, and Derby County in 6. Furthermore, QPR has only kept one clean sheet, while Derby County has scored in 9 of their last 10 matches. The combination of a strong away attack and a weak home defense makes this bet very likely.
1.3
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Derby County scores over 0.5 goals
Derby County has scored in 9 of their last 10 matches, demonstrating great offensive consistency. QPR, on the other hand, has conceded goals in 9 of their last 10 matches. The probability of Derby County scoring at least one goal is therefore very high. This bet is complementary to the Derby County win and 'Over 1.5 goals'.
1.25
Confidence
High (65 %)
Derby County Win
Derby County is the favorite and has shown better recent form with 6 wins in 10 matches, compared to only 3 for QPR. Their attack is more prolific, notably with Ben Brereton Diaz (4 goals). QPR has a fragile defense, having kept a clean sheet only once in their last 10 matches. The odds of 2.22 for a Derby County win are attractive.
2.25
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County Statistics
Win
Win | 3 2 5 | 6 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 33% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 43% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 29% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 29% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 50% |
2nd half | 40% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Kone | 22% (2/9) | 30% (3/10) | Jaydon Banel |
| Paul Smyth | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Carlton Morris |
| Rayan Kolli | 22% (2/9) | 25% (2/8) | Sammie Szmodics |
| Harvey Vale | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Oscar Fraulo |
| Rhys Norrington-Davies | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Ben Brereton Diaz |
| Ronnie Edwards | 10% (1/10) | 17% (1/6) | Sondre Klingen Langaas |
33% (1/3) | Rhian Brewster | ||
10% (1/10) | David Ozoh |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayan Kolli | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Jaydon Banel |
| Paul Smyth | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Ben Brereton Diaz |
| Richard Kone | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Sammie Szmodics |
| Harvey Vale | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Carlton Morris |
| Ronnie Edwards | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sondre Klingen Langaas |
| Rhys Norrington-Davies | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Rhian Brewster |
⚽1 | David Ozoh | ||
⚽1 | Oscar Fraulo |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 20% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 100% |
1.5 | 80% | 80% |
2.5 | 70% | 50% |
3.5 | 30% | 20% |
4.5 | 10% | 10% |
5.5 | 10% | 10% |
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