Hambourg vs Augsbourg — Prediction
04/04/2026•15:30
Hamburger SV
1:1
(0:1)
Finished
Augsburg
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Hamburger SV hosts Augsburg in a Bundesliga match. Hamburger SV is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 2.23, but their recent form is mixed (3 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses in the last 10 matches). Augsburg, away from home, has a more solid record (5 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses). Statistics show a strong tendency for goals from both sides and an open match is expected.
Our predictions
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, both teams have scored in 70% of Hamburger SV's games (7/10), and in 60% of Augsburg's games (6/10). Both defenses are leaky (Hamburger SV: only 2 clean sheets; Augsburg: 2 clean sheets). The attacks are active: Hamburger SV scored in 9/10 matches, Augsburg in 10/10. The historical trend and recent statistics strongly support this scenario.
1.63
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
The 'Over 2.5 goals' bet has landed in 50% of Hamburger SV's recent matches (5/10) and 60% for Augsburg (6/10). With efficient attacks (Hamburger SV: 1.4 goals/match on average over the last 10; Augsburg: 1.6 goals/match) and leaky defenses, a match with 3 or more goals is plausible. The offensive dynamic of both teams and the low clean sheet rate reinforce this possibility.
1.79
Confidence
Medium
Away team victory
Augsburg shows better form over the last 10 matches (5 wins vs 3 for Hamburger SV). Although Hamburger SV is favored at home, their win rate as a favorite is only 50% (2/4). Augsburg, on the other hand, has a win rate as an outsider of 33% (2/6). The odds value (3.10) and Augsburg's slightly better form justify this low-confidence bet, despite Hamburger's home advantage.
3.1
Confidence
Low
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 4 3 | 5 1 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 75% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 75% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 17% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 17% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 60% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 10% |
2nd half | 20% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Fabio Vieira | 40% (4/10) | 44% (4/9) | Alexis Claude-Maurice |
| Ransford Koenigsdoerffer | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Michael Gregoritsch |
| Luka Vuskovic | 22% (2/9) | 22% (2/9) | Rodrigo Ribeiro |
| Philip Otele | 14% (1/7) | 20% (2/10) | Elvis Rexhbecaj |
| Nicolas Capaldo | 17% (1/6) | 10% (1/10) | Robin Fellhauer |
| Albert Sambi Lokonga | 13% (1/8) | 13% (1/8) | Arthur Chaves |
| Rayan Philippe | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Han-Noah Massengo |
| Jean-Luc Dompe | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Fabio Vieira | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Alexis Claude-Maurice |
| Ransford Koenigsdoerffer | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Michael Gregoritsch |
| Luka Vuskovic | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Elvis Rexhbecaj |
| Rayan Philippe | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Rodrigo Ribeiro |
| Jean-Luc Dompe | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Arthur Chaves |
| Albert Sambi Lokonga | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Han-Noah Massengo |
| Nicolas Capaldo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Robin Fellhauer |
| Philip Otele | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 100% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 100% | 90% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 80% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 80% | 60% |
2.5 | 50% | 40% |
3.5 | 20% | 40% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
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