Hamburger SV - Freiburg: our prediction
10/05/2026•15:30
Hamburger SV
3:2
(1:1)
Finished
Freiburg
-
1
-
X
-
2
Hamburger SV vs Freiburg Preview — Bundesliga
Hamburger SV hosts Freiburg in a Bundesliga match. Hamburger SV has shown mixed recent form with only 2 wins in their last 10 matches, while Freiburg has won 5 of their last 10 games. Both teams tend to score, with a high 'Both Teams to Score' rate for Hamburg (80%) and Freiburg (70%). Freiburg is the favorite according to the bookmakers.
Our Hamburger SV vs Freiburg predictions
Both teams to score
Hamburger SV has seen both teams score in 80% of their last 10 matches, and Freiburg in 70%. Both teams have defensive difficulties, with Hamburg failing to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 10 matches, and Freiburg only 2 times. Offensive statistics are also good, with key players like Fabio Vieira (3 goals) for Hamburg and Johan Manzambi (3 goals) for Freiburg. The 'Both teams to score' bet seems very likely.
1.53
Confidence
High
2.5 (Over 2.5 goals)
Both teams show a tendency to exceed 2.5 goals. Hamburg has seen over 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 10 matches, and Freiburg also in 70%. Combined with the high probability that both teams will score, the total goals should exceed 2.5. The defenses are porous and the attacks are capable of scoring.
1.64
Confidence
High
1.5 (Over 1.5 goals per team) - Freiburg
Freiburg has scored more than 1.5 goals in 50% of their last 10 matches. Hamburg has conceded at least one goal in all of their last 10 matches. Although the probability is moderate, Freiburg's offensive form (5 wins) and Hamburg's defensive weakness (no clean sheets) make this bet interesting. Freiburg has players capable of scoring multiple goals.
1.89
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Hamburger SV vs Freiburg
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Hamburger SV vs Freiburg Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 2 6 | 5 2 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 75% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 25% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 100% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 80% 20% | 70% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Fabio Vieira | 30% (3/10) | 30% (3/10) | Igor Matanovic |
| Robert Glatzel | 29% (2/7) | 22% (2/9) | Johan Manzambi |
| Luka Vuskovic | 29% (2/7) | 20% (2/10) | Maximilian Eggestein |
| Philip Otele | 14% (1/7) | 20% (1/5) | Yuito Suzuki |
| Albert Groenbaek | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Vincenzo Grifo |
| Bakery Jatta | 20% (1/5) | 11% (1/9) | Matthias Ginter |
| Albert Sambi Lokonga | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Derry Scherhant |
| Ransford-Yeboah Koenigsdoerffer | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Lukas Kuebler |
| Fabio Balde | 14% (1/7) | 10% (1/10) | Philipp Lienhart |
| Jean-Luc Dompe | 14% (1/7) | 10% (1/10) | Jan-Niklas Beste |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Fabio Vieira | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Igor Matanovic |
| Robert Glatzel | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Johan Manzambi |
| Luka Vuskovic | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Lukas Kuebler |
| Philip Otele | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Yuito Suzuki |
| Albert Groenbaek | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Maximilian Eggestein |
| Bakery Jatta | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Matthias Ginter |
| Jean-Luc Dompe | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Vincenzo Grifo |
| Ransford-Yeboah Koenigsdoerffer | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Philipp Lienhart |
| Fabio Balde | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Derry Scherhant |
| Albert Sambi Lokonga | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jan-Niklas Beste |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 100% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 100% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 80% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 80% |
1.5 | 70% | 50% |
2.5 | 40% | 40% |
3.5 | 0% | 30% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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