Rugby

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Freiburg - Rb Leipzig: our prediction

16/05/2026•15:30

Freiburg

4:1

(2:1)

Finished

RB Leipzig

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Preview — Bundesliga

RB Leipzig, the heavy favorite, travels to Freiburg. Leipzig has won 8 of their last 10 matches and has a 100% win rate as a favorite. Freiburg is inconsistent at home with only 2 wins in their last 10 home games. Both teams have a strong tendency to score (70% each). Leipzig seems to have the upper hand.

Our Freiburg vs RB Leipzig predictions

Over 2.5 Goals

This market is strongly correlated with 'Both Teams to Score'. Leipzig has seen over 2.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches, and Freiburg in 70%. The offensive trend of both teams and Freiburg's defensive weakness (80% of matches with at least one goal conceded) suggest an open game with at least 3 goals. This supports both the Leipzig win and the 'Both Teams to Score' bet.

1.41

Confidence

High (65 %)

Both Teams to Score

Both teams have scored in 70% of their last 10 matches. Freiburg has conceded goals in 80% of their matches (failed to keep a clean sheet 8 times in 10). Leipzig has also conceded goals in 80% of their matches. Both teams have attacks capable of scoring, as evidenced by their goalscorers. This bet is consistent with a Leipzig win, as Freiburg should score at home.

1.38

Confidence

High (65 %)

RB Leipzig to Win

RB Leipzig is in great form, with 8 wins in their last 10 matches. As a favorite, they have won 100% of their last 8 matches. Freiburg, on the other hand, has won only 2 of their last 10 home games. Leipzig has an 80% win rate over the last 10 matches, compared to 50% for Freiburg. The odds (2.26 for Leipzig) reflect this favorite status. No major injuries reported.

2.29

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Freiburg vs RB Leipzig

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Freiburg	RB Leipzig
Win	5 2 3	8 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	80%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	100%
Win by being a favorite	60%	100%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	60%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	40%	0%
Win by being an outsider	40%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	70% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	20%
2nd half	40%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Igor Matanovic	30% (3/10)	30% (3/10)	Yan Diomande
Johan Manzambi	22% (2/9)	20% (2/10)	Romulo Cruz
Maximilian Eggestein	20% (2/10)	20% (2/10)	Christoph Baumgartner
Vincenzo Grifo	10% (1/10)	20% (2/10)	Antonio Nusa
Matthias Ginter	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Ridle Baku
Derry Scherhant	10% (1/10)	13% (1/8)	Xaver Schlager
Lukas Kuebler	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Conrad Harder
Philipp Lienhart	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Willi Orban
Jan-Niklas Beste	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Benjamin Henrichs
Yuito Suzuki	17% (1/6)	11% (1/9)	Brajan Gruda
Lucas Hoeler	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Max Finkgrafe
		14% (1/7)	Forzan Assan Ouedraogo

Total goals per player

	1	2
Igor Matanovic	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Yan Diomande
Johan Manzambi	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Christoph Baumgartner
Lukas Kuebler	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Romulo Cruz
Yuito Suzuki	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Brajan Gruda
Maximilian Eggestein	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Antonio Nusa
Matthias Ginter	⚽1	⚽1	Willi Orban
Lucas Hoeler	⚽1	⚽1	Max Finkgrafe
Vincenzo Grifo	⚽1	⚽1	Xaver Schlager
Philipp Lienhart	⚽1	⚽1	Conrad Harder
Derry Scherhant	⚽1	⚽1	Ridle Baku
Jan-Niklas Beste	⚽1	⚽1	Forzan Assan Ouedraogo
		⚽1	Benjamin Henrichs

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	60%	80%
Over corners 7.5	60%	80%
Over corners 8.5	50%	70%
Over corners 9.5	30%	70%
Over corners 10.5	20%	60%
Over corners 11.5	20%	40%
Over corners 12.5	10%	40%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	80%
Over corners 3.5	50%	60%
Over corners 4.5	10%	60%
Over corners 5.5	0%	60%
Over corners 6.5	0%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	90%
1.5	50%	50%
2.5	30%	20%
3.5	20%	10%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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