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Werder Bremen - Borussia Dortmund: our prediction

16/05/2026•15:30

Werder Bremen

0:2

(0:0)

Finished

Borussia Dortmund

Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund Preview — Bundesliga

Werder Bremen hosts Borussia Dortmund for a Bundesliga match. Dortmund is the favorite with odds of 1.95. Statistics show Dortmund won 6 of their last 10 games, while Bremen only won 4. Both teams score in 60% of Bremen's matches and 50% of Dortmund's. The match promises to be tight but with an advantage for Dortmund.

Our Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund predictions

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Statistics show a high probability of over 2.5 goals. Dortmund has seen this scenario occur in 60% of their matches, and Bremen in 50%. Combined with the fact that both teams often score (BTS at 60% for Bremen), the total goals should exceed 2.5. The defensive weakness on both sides (rare clean sheets) reinforces this analysis.

1.37

Confidence

High (65 %)

Both teams to score

Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede. Bremen has seen both teams score in 60% of their last 10 matches, and Dortmund in 50%. Bremen has kept a clean sheet only 2 times out of 10, Dortmund 3 times. With attackers like Guirassy for Dortmund and Stage for Bremen (4 goals), it is likely that both will find the net.

1.36

Confidence

High (65 %)

Dortmund Victory

Dortmund is the clear favorite, with odds of 1.95. They have won 6 of their last 10 matches (60% success rate), while Bremen has only won 4 (40%). Furthermore, Dortmund has an excellent record as a favorite, winning 5 out of 7 times in this situation. Bremen, at home, has a low win rate (2 out of 10 as an outsider). Dortmund's form and squad quality, led by Guirassy (5 goals), tip the scales in their favor.

1.99

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Werder Bremen	Borussia Dortmund
Win	4 1 5	6 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	67%	71%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	0%
Win by being a favorite	67%	71%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	43%	33%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	29%	33%
Win by being an outsider	29%	33%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	50% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	30%
2nd half	40%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Jens Stage	38% (3/8)	60% (6/10)	Serhou Guirassy
Romano Schmid	20% (2/10)	33% (2/6)	Ramy Bensebaini
Salim Musah	10% (1/10)	20% (2/10)	Maximilian Beier
Patrice Covic	10% (1/10)	33% (2/6)	Karim Adeyemi
Justin Njinmah	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Julian Brandt
Olivier Deman	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Samuele Inacio
Cameron Puertas	11% (1/9)	11% (1/9)	Luca Reggiani
Marco Gruell	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Fabio Silva
		10% (1/10)	Nico Schlotterbeck
		11% (1/9)	Yan Couto

Total goals per player

	1	2
Jens Stage	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	Serhou Guirassy
Romano Schmid	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Ramy Bensebaini
Marco Gruell	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Karim Adeyemi
Salim Musah	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Maximilian Beier
Olivier Deman	⚽1	⚽1	Luca Reggiani
Cameron Puertas	⚽1	⚽1	Fabio Silva
Patrice Covic	⚽1	⚽1	Samuele Inacio
Justin Njinmah	⚽1	⚽1	Julian Brandt
		⚽1	Nico Schlotterbeck
		⚽1	Yan Couto

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	70%	80%
Over corners 7.5	70%	50%
Over corners 8.5	70%	40%
Over corners 9.5	70%	40%
Over corners 10.5	50%	30%
Over corners 11.5	40%	30%
Over corners 12.5	30%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	80%
Over corners 3.5	50%	70%
Over corners 4.5	40%	60%
Over corners 5.5	30%	30%
Over corners 6.5	30%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	90%
1.5	60%	50%
2.5	30%	40%
3.5	10%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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