Marseille - Lille: our prediction
22/03/2026•17:15
Marseille
1:2
(1:0)
Finished
Lille
-
1
-
X
-
2
Marseille vs Lille Preview — Ligue 1
Marseille hosts Lille in a Ligue 1 match. Bookmakers have Marseille as the favorite with odds at 1.86. Over their last 10 matches, both teams have an identical record: 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses. Statistics suggest a potentially tight match, with a more prolific Marseille attack but a more solid Lille defense.
Our Marseille vs Lille predictions
Marseille to Win
Marseille is the favorite at home (odds 1.86). Over the last 10 matches, they have 4 wins compared to 4 for Lille, but their attack is more effective (7 matches with over 2.5 total goals vs. 1 for Lille). At home, they score regularly (7/10 matches with over 0.5 goals per team). Lille, away, has a solid defense (9/10 matches with under 2.5 total goals) but a less sharp attack (only 1/10 matches with over 1.5 goals per team). The home advantage and Marseille's attack should make the difference.
1.86
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Marseille's offensive statistics are convincing: 7 of their last 10 matches exceeded 2.5 total goals (70%). They score regularly (7/10 matches with over 0.5 goals per team) and can concede (7/10 matches without a clean sheet). Lille, despite a generally solid defense (9/10 matches with under 2.5 total goals), has shown weaknesses away. The combination of Marseille's home attack and Lille's ability to score (they scored in 6 of their last 10 matches) makes this scenario likely.
1.8
Confidence
High
Both Teams to Score
Marseille scored in 7 of their last 10 matches and conceded in 7 of those same matches (only 3 clean sheets). Lille scored in 6 of their last 10 matches. Although Lille has a good defense (4 clean sheets out of 10), playing away against a performing Marseille attack (Mason Greenwood and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang in form) will expose them. Marseille, as the favorite, might relax defensively. The 'Both Teams to Score' scenario occurred in 4 of Marseille's last 10 matches and 3 of Lille's last 10, indicating a moderate but real probability.
1.69
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Marseille vs Lille
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Marseille vs Lille Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 3 3 | 4 3 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 78% | 86% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 25% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 44% | 43% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 30% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 100% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 60% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amine Gouiri | 33% (3/9) | 40% (4/10) | Matias Fernandez-Pardo |
| Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | 22% (2/9) | 30% (3/10) | Hakon Arnar Haraldsson |
| Mason Greenwood | 22% (2/9) | 22% (2/9) | Thomas Meunier |
| Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Olivier Giroud |
| Ethan Nwaneri | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Romain Perraud |
| Igor Paixao | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Felix Correia |
| Hamed Traore | 14% (1/7) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amine Gouiri | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Matias Fernandez-Pardo |
| Mason Greenwood | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Hakon Arnar Haraldsson |
| Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Thomas Meunier |
| Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Olivier Giroud |
| Ethan Nwaneri | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Romain Perraud |
| Hamed Traore | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Felix Correia |
| Igor Paixao | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 80% |
1.5 | 100% | 30% |
2.5 | 70% | 30% |
3.5 | 50% | 20% |
4.5 | 10% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Marseille
4-2-3-1CoachHabib Beye
Starting XI
Substitutes
Lille
4-2-3-1CoachBruno Genesio
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Paris Saint-Germain | 71%(24/34) |
| 2 |  | Lens | 65%(22/34) |
| 3 | | Marseille | 53%(18/34) |
| 4 |  | Lyon | 53%(18/34) |
| 5 | | Lille | 53%(18/34) |
| 6 |  | Rennes | 50%(17/34) |
| 7 |  | Monaco | 47%(16/34) |
| 8 |  | Strasbourg | 44%(15/34) |
| 9 |  | Toulouse | 35%(12/34) |
| 10 |  | Paris FC | 32%(11/34) |
| 11 |  | Lorient | 32%(11/34) |
| 12 |  | Brest | 29%(10/34) |
| 13 |  | Angers | 26%(9/34) |
| 14 |  | Auxerre | 24%(8/34) |
| 15 |  | Nice | 21%(7/34) |
| 16 |  | Le Havre | 21%(7/34) |
| 17 |  | Nantes | 15%(5/34) |
| 18 |  | Metz | 9%(3/34) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Ligue 1
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Ligue 1. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Ligue 1 est l'une des compétitions majeures de France. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Ligue 1, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
Betting actions
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