Paris Saint-Germain - Toulouse: our prediction
03/04/2026•20:45
Paris Saint-Germain
3:1
(2:1)
Finished
Toulouse
-
1
-
X
-
2
Paris Saint-Germain vs Toulouse Preview — Ligue 1
Paris Saint-Germain, the home favorite with odds at 1.28, faces Toulouse. Over the last 10 matches, PSG has won 70% of its encounters, while Toulouse has won 30% of its games. Statistics show a strong goal trend for PSG, with a 90% success rate for the 'Over 2.5 goals' bet in its matches.
Our Paris Saint-Germain vs Toulouse predictions
Paris Saint-Germain Win
PSG, at home, shows solid form with 7 wins in its last 10 matches. Its attack is prolific (9/10 matches with over 2.5 goals). Toulouse, away, is less performant (3 wins/10) and its defense is vulnerable (7/10 matches with under 2.5 goals for them, but 9/10 with under 3.5 goals). The low odds reflect the clear superiority of the favorite. No information on major absences was found in the provided data.
1.26
Confidence
High
Paris Saint-Germain scores over 1.5 goals
PSG's attack is extremely efficient, scoring over 1.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches. At home, against a Toulouse defense that regularly concedes (only 3 clean sheets in 10), it is very likely that PSG scores at least two goals. This prediction is consistent with PSG's win and the bet on a high total number of goals.
1.3
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
PSG's matches are very offensive: 9 times out of 10, they exceeded the total of 2.5 goals. Even though Toulouse tends to play less prolific matches (7/10 with under 2.5 goals), PSG's offensive power at home and its ability to score multiple goals (7/10 with over 1.5 goals for PSG alone) push to favor a match with over 2.5 goals. The 'Both teams to score' statistic is realized only 50% of the time for PSG, which leaves room for a 3-0 scenario or similar, but the total goals should be high.
1.41
Confidence
High
Market signals on Paris Saint-Germain vs Toulouse
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Paris Saint-Germain vs Toulouse Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 7 1 2 | 3 3 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 78% | 71% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 57% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 25% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 43% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 100% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 100% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 40% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 50% |
2nd half | 60% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 90% 10% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 60% 40% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 40% (4/10) | 30% (3/10) | Emersonn |
| Desire Doue | 30% (3/10) | 25% (2/8) | Dayann Methalie |
| Ousmane Dembele | 30% (3/10) | 11% (1/9) | Cristian Casseres Jr. |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | 22% (2/9) | 11% (1/9) | Aron Doennum |
| Lucas Beraldo | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Seny Koumbassa |
| Joao Neves | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Jacen Russell-Rowe |
| Achraf Hakimi | 20% (1/5) | 11% (1/9) | Mario Sauer |
| Kang-In Lee | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Rasmus Nicolaisen |
| Senny Mayulu | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Santiago Hidalgo |
| Warren Zaire-Emery | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Warren Kamanzi |
| Bradley Barcola | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Yann Gboho |
| Goncalo Ramos | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Emersonn |
| Ousmane Dembele | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Yann Gboho |
| Desire Doue | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Dayann Methalie |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Aron Doennum |
| Lucas Beraldo | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Cristian Casseres Jr. |
| Senny Mayulu | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mario Sauer |
| Warren Zaire-Emery | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Rasmus Nicolaisen |
| Bradley Barcola | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Santiago Hidalgo |
| Kang-In Lee | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Warren Kamanzi |
| Goncalo Ramos | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Seny Koumbassa |
| Joao Neves | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jacen Russell-Rowe |
| Achraf Hakimi | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 50% | 100% |
1.5 | 10% | 60% |
2.5 | 0% | 30% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Paris Saint-Germain
4-3-3CoachLuis Enrique
Starting XI
Substitutes
Toulouse
3-4-2-1CoachCarles Martinez
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | | Paris Saint-Germain | 71%(24/34) |
| 2 |  | Lens | 65%(22/34) |
| 3 |  | Marseille | 53%(18/34) |
| 4 |  | Lyon | 53%(18/34) |
| 5 |  | Lille | 53%(18/34) |
| 6 |  | Rennes | 50%(17/34) |
| 7 |  | Monaco | 47%(16/34) |
| 8 |  | Strasbourg | 44%(15/34) |
| 9 | | Toulouse | 35%(12/34) |
| 10 |  | Paris FC | 32%(11/34) |
| 11 |  | Lorient | 32%(11/34) |
| 12 |  | Brest | 29%(10/34) |
| 13 |  | Angers | 26%(9/34) |
| 14 |  | Auxerre | 24%(8/34) |
| 15 |  | Nice | 21%(7/34) |
| 16 |  | Le Havre | 21%(7/34) |
| 17 |  | Nantes | 15%(5/34) |
| 18 |  | Metz | 9%(3/34) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Ligue 1
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Ligue 1. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Ligue 1 est l'une des compétitions majeures de France. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Ligue 1, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
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