03/04/2026•20:45

Paris Saint-Germain

3:1

(2:1)

Finished

Toulouse

Match Preview

Paris Saint-Germain, the home favorite with odds at 1.28, faces Toulouse. Over the last 10 matches, PSG has won 70% of its encounters, while Toulouse has won 30% of its games. Statistics show a strong goal trend for PSG, with a 90% success rate for the 'Over 2.5 goals' bet in its matches.

Our predictions

Paris Saint-Germain Win

PSG, at home, shows solid form with 7 wins in its last 10 matches. Its attack is prolific (9/10 matches with over 2.5 goals). Toulouse, away, is less performant (3 wins/10) and its defense is vulnerable (7/10 matches with under 2.5 goals for them, but 9/10 with under 3.5 goals). The low odds reflect the clear superiority of the favorite. No information on major absences was found in the provided data.

1.27

Confidence

High

Paris Saint-Germain scores over 1.5 goals

PSG's attack is extremely efficient, scoring over 1.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches. At home, against a Toulouse defense that regularly concedes (only 3 clean sheets in 10), it is very likely that PSG scores at least two goals. This prediction is consistent with PSG's win and the bet on a high total number of goals.

1.34

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 goals in the match

PSG's matches are very offensive: 9 times out of 10, they exceeded the total of 2.5 goals. Even though Toulouse tends to play less prolific matches (7/10 with under 2.5 goals), PSG's offensive power at home and its ability to score multiple goals (7/10 with over 1.5 goals for PSG alone) push to favor a match with over 2.5 goals. The 'Both teams to score' statistic is realized only 50% of the time for PSG, which leaves room for a 3-0 scenario or similar, but the total goals should be high.

1.52

Confidence

High

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Paris Saint-Germain	Toulouse
Win	7 1 2	3 3 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	78%	71%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	57%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	100%	25%
Win by being a favorite	67%	43%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	33%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	100%	0%
Win by being an outsider	100%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	40% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	10% 90%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	60% 40%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	50%
2nd half	60%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	90% 10%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	70% 30%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	70% 30%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	60% 40%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Bradley Barcola	63% (5/8)	30% (3/10)	Yann Gboho
Ousmane Dembele	43% (3/7)	25% (2/8)	Aron Doennum
Desire Doue	30% (3/10)	20% (2/10)	Djibril Sidibe
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	30% (3/10)	20% (1/5)	Charlie Cresswell
Goncalo Ramos	20% (2/10)	11% (1/9)	Rasmus Nicolaisen
Vitinha	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Pape Demba Diop
Achraf Hakimi	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Emersonn
Marquinhos	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Julian Vignolo
Warren Zaire-Emery	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Mario Sauer
Senny Mayulu	20% (1/5)
Dro Fernandez	10% (1/10)
Nuno Mendes	10% (1/10)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Bradley Barcola	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Yann Gboho
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽2	Djibril Sidibe
Desire Doue	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽2	Aron Doennum
Ousmane Dembele	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽1	Rasmus Nicolaisen
Goncalo Ramos	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Julian Vignolo
Vitinha	⚽1	⚽1	Charlie Cresswell
Achraf Hakimi	⚽1	⚽1	Pape Demba Diop
Senny Mayulu	⚽1	⚽1	Mario Sauer
Warren Zaire-Emery	⚽1	⚽1	Emersonn
Nuno Mendes	⚽1
Marquinhos	⚽1
Dro Fernandez	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	70%	80%
Over corners 7.5	50%	70%
Over corners 8.5	50%	50%
Over corners 9.5	40%	30%
Over corners 10.5	30%	20%
Over corners 11.5	30%	10%
Over corners 12.5	10%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	80%
Over corners 3.5	70%	80%
Over corners 4.5	60%	60%
Over corners 5.5	40%	30%
Over corners 6.5	40%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	50%	100%
1.5	10%	60%
2.5	0%	30%
3.5	0%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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Paris Saint Germain vs Toulouse — Prediction