Lens - Toulouse: our prediction
17/04/2026•20:45
Lens
3:2
(0:2)
Finished
Toulouse
-
1
-
X
-
2
Lens vs Toulouse Preview — Ligue 1
Lens hosts Toulouse in a Ligue 1 match. Lens is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.53. In their last 10 matches, Lens has won 5, drawn 2, and lost 3. Toulouse, struggling away from home, has not won any of their last 10 away matches. Statistics show a strong goal trend for Lens, with 9 out of 10 matches exceeding 2.5 goals.
Our Lens vs Toulouse predictions
Over 2.5 Goals
Statistics are very favorable for a match with over 2.5 goals. For Lens, 9 out of 10 matches exceeded 2.5 goals (90%). For Toulouse, 5 out of 10 matches exceeded 2.5 goals (50%). Lens has a prolific attack (7 out of 10 matches with over 1.5 goals scored) and a defense that regularly concedes (8 out of 10 matches without a clean sheet). Toulouse also has defensive weaknesses (9 out of 10 matches without a clean sheet).
1.62
Confidence
Very high
Both Teams to Score
Lens has seen both teams score in 70% of its recent matches (7/10). Toulouse has seen both teams score in 50% of its recent matches (5/10). The defenses of both teams are unreliable: Lens kept a clean sheet only 2 times out of 10, Toulouse only 1 time out of 10. Lens's attack is effective (9 matches out of 10 with at least 1 goal scored). Toulouse scored in 6 of its last 10 matches. The combination of Lens's attack and the defensive weaknesses of both teams makes this scenario likely.
1.75
Confidence
High
Lens to Win
Lens is clearly the favorite at home (odds 1.53). In the last 10 matches, Lens has won 50% of its matches (5/10) compared to only 20% for Toulouse (2/10). Toulouse is struggling away with 0 wins in their last 10 away matches. Lens has a performing attack with 9 out of 10 matches exceeding 2.5 goals. Toulouse's defense is vulnerable (6 defeats in last 10 matches).
1.5
Confidence
High
Market signals on Lens vs Toulouse
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Lens vs Toulouse Statistics
Win
Win | 5 2 3 | 2 2 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 63% | 60% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 25% |
Win by being a favorite | 56% | 40% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 20% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 50% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 0% | 50% |
2nd half | 60% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 90% 10% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Thauvin | 50% (4/8) | 30% (3/10) | Emersonn |
| Allan Saint-Maximin | 43% (3/7) | 25% (2/8) | Dayann Methalie |
| Adrien Thomasson | 25% (2/8) | 10% (1/10) | Warren Kamanzi |
| Abdallah Sima | 22% (2/9) | 10% (1/10) | Rasmus Nicolaisen |
| Florian Sotoca | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Santiago Hidalgo |
| Mezian Soares | 33% (1/3) | 11% (1/9) | Aron Doennum |
| Pierre Ganiou | 11% (1/9) | 13% (1/8) | Yann Gboho |
| Matthieu Udol | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Cristian Casseres Jr. |
| Wesley Said | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Jacen Russell-Rowe |
| Odsonne Edouard | 13% (1/8) | 11% (1/9) | Mario Sauer |
| Saud Abdulhamid | 14% (1/7) | 10% (1/10) | Seny Koumbassa |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Thauvin | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Emersonn |
| Allan Saint-Maximin | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Yann Gboho |
| Wesley Said | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Dayann Methalie |
| Adrien Thomasson | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Mario Sauer |
| Abdallah Sima | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Rasmus Nicolaisen |
| Pierre Ganiou | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Santiago Hidalgo |
| Matthieu Udol | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Warren Kamanzi |
| Florian Sotoca | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Seny Koumbassa |
| Odsonne Edouard | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jacen Russell-Rowe |
| Saud Abdulhamid | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Aron Doennum |
| Mezian Soares | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Cristian Casseres Jr. |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 60% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 100% |
1.5 | 60% | 70% |
2.5 | 30% | 30% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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