Deportivo Alaves vs Osasuna — Prediction
05/04/2026•21:00
Deportivo Alaves
2:2
(1:1)
Finished
Osasuna
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Deportivo Alaves hosts Osasuna in a LaLiga match. Alaves is a slight favorite with the bookmakers (odds 2.45) despite recent mixed form (3 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses in the last 10 matches). Osasuna, with slightly better form (5 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), is a solid away team. Statistics show a strong trend for goals from both sides (BTS at 80% for Alaves, 70% for Osasuna). A tight match with goals is expected.
Our predictions
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, Alaves has seen both teams score in 80% of cases (8/10) and Osasuna in 70% of cases (7/10). Neither defense is watertight (0 clean sheets for Alaves, 2 for Osasuna out of 10). The attacks are active: Alaves scored at least 1 goal in 9/10 recent matches, Osasuna in 8/10. The statistical trend is very strong.
1.89
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
The 'Over 2.5 goals' bet has been successful in 60% of Alaves's recent matches (6/10) and 70% of Osasuna's (7/10). With the strong BTS trend and unreliable defenses (0 clean sheets for Alaves), a 2-1 or 1-2 scenario is plausible. The second half is often more prolific (Osasuna has more goals in the second half in 7/10 matches).
2.24
Confidence
Medium
Draw
Both teams have drawn in 30% of their last 10 matches (3/10 each). Alaves, favored at home, has a low performance as a favorite (only 1 win in 3 matches where they were favored). Osasuna is solid and hard to beat. A balanced match could end in a draw, especially if both teams score. The odds are attractive for a plausible but less likely scenario than a home win.
3.11
Confidence
Low
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | 2 3 5 | 5 3 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 33% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 43% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 14% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider | 14% | 50% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 100% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 70% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 10% |
2nd half | 50% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Boye | 30% (3/10) | 70% (7/10) | Ante Budimir |
| Antonio Martinez | 30% (3/10) | 30% (3/10) | Victor Munoz |
| Antonio Blanco | 10% (1/10) | 22% (2/9) | Raul Garcia |
| Carlos Vicente | 50% (1/2) | 10% (1/10) | Javi Galan |
| Abderrahman Rebbach | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Asier Osambela |
13% (1/8) | Jon Moncayola | ||
10% (1/10) | Enrique Barja | ||
11% (1/9) | Lucas Torro |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Boye | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8 | Ante Budimir |
| Antonio Martinez | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Victor Munoz |
| Antonio Blanco | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Raul Garcia |
| Abderrahman Rebbach | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Enrique Barja |
| Carlos Vicente | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Lucas Torro |
⚽1 | Jon Moncayola | ||
⚽1 | Javi Galan | ||
⚽1 | Asier Osambela |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 100% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 70% | 80% |
2.5 | 40% | 50% |
3.5 | 30% | 20% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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