Atl Tico Madrid vs Fc Barcelone — Prediction
04/04/2026•21:00
Atletico Madrid
1:2
(1:1)
Finished
Barcelona
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Atlético Madrid hosts FC Barcelona in a LaLiga clash. Barcelona is the bookmakers' favorite (odds at 2.15) with solid form (7 wins in the last 10 matches). Atlético, at home, shows a potent attack but a leaky defense. Recent statistics suggest an open match with goals.
Our predictions
Atlético Madrid scores over 0.5 goals
Atlético has scored at least one goal in 9 of its last 10 matches (90%). At home, against a Barcelona defense that conceded in 6 of the last 10 matches, the probability of scoring is very high. Atlético's attack is diversified (Alvarez, Sørloth, Lookman). Even in case of defeat, Atlético should find the net.
1.22
Confidence
Very high
Both teams to score
Atlético has scored in 9/10 last matches (90%) and conceded in 8/10 (80%). Barcelona has scored in 9/10 (90%) and conceded in 6/10 (60%). The 'Both Teams to Score' stats are strong for Atlético (70% last 10). At home, Atlético is offensive but vulnerable. Barcelona, even as favorite, has rarely kept a clean sheet recently (4/10).
1.4
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Atlético has seen +2.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). Barcelona has seen +2.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 (70%). Both teams score regularly (Atl: 70%, Barça: 50% last 10). Defenses are not solid (Atl: 2 clean sheets, Barça: 4). With quality attacks, a multi-goal match is likely.
1.45
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 1 3 | 7 1 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 88% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 80% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 75% | 70% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 50% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 50% |
2nd half | 60% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Alvarez | 40% (4/10) | 50% (5/10) | Lamine Yamal |
| Alexander Soerloth | 30% (3/10) | 40% (4/10) | Marc Bernal |
| Ademola Lookman | 20% (2/10) | 38% (3/8) | Raphinha |
| David Hancko | 10% (1/10) | 33% (3/9) | Robert Lewandowski |
| Robin Le Normand | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Fermin Lopez |
| Nahuel Molina | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Dani Olmo |
| Nico Gonzalez | 17% (1/6) | 25% (1/4) | Frenkie de Jong |
| Johnny Cardoso | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Joao Cancelo |
| Marcos Llorente | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Pau Cubarsi |
| Giuliano Simeone | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Antoine Griezmann | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Soerloth | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | Lamine Yamal |
| Julian Alvarez | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | Raphinha |
| Ademola Lookman | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Marc Bernal |
| Nico Gonzalez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Robert Lewandowski |
| Johnny Cardoso | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Fermin Lopez |
| Robin Le Normand | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Pau Cubarsi |
| Nahuel Molina | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Dani Olmo |
| Antoine Griezmann | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Frenkie de Jong |
| David Hancko | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Joao Cancelo |
| Giuliano Simeone | ⚽1 | ||
| Marcos Llorente | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 100% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 80% |
1.5 | 50% | 50% |
2.5 | 30% | 30% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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