Atletico Madrid - Girona: our prediction
17/05/2026•19:00
Atletico Madrid
1:0
(1:0)
Finished
Girona
-
1
-
X
-
2
Atletico Madrid vs Girona Preview — LaLiga
Atletico Madrid, the favorite, hosts Girona. Statistics show Atletico tends to score but also concede (70% 'Both teams to score' for Atletico). Girona is defensively solid away but less performant. The match promises to be tight with a possible Atletico victory.
Our Atletico Madrid vs Girona predictions
Over 1.5 goals in the match
This bet is extremely likely. Atletico Madrid has seen over 1.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches. Girona is at 70% over the same period. Combined with the high probability that both teams will score, it is very rare for a match with so many attackers and defensive frailties to stay under this threshold. The trend is overwhelming.
1.18
Confidence
Very high (80%)
Both teams to score
This bet is very solid. Atletico Madrid has seen both teams score in 70% of their last 10 matches. Girona, for their part, is at 60% over the same period. Additionally, Atletico has kept a clean sheet only once in their last 10 matches (10%), while Girona has done so 2 times (20%). The trend is clearly towards goals from both sides.
1.6
Confidence
High (70%)
Atletico Madrid Victory
Atletico Madrid is the logical favorite with odds of 1.8. In their last 10 matches, they have won 3, but more importantly, they do not lose when favored (75% 'does not lose as favorite'). Girona, on the other hand, has a low away win rate (20%). General form and home advantage favor Atletico.
1.8
Confidence
High (65%)
Market signals on Atletico Madrid vs Girona
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Atletico Madrid vs Girona Statistics
Win
Win | 3 2 5 | 2 4 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 0% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 17% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 17% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 60% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 20% |
2nd half | 40% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ademola Lookman | 38% (3/8) | 22% (2/9) | Cristhian Stuani |
| Julian Alvarez | 50% (2/4) | 10% (1/10) | Viktor Tsigankov |
| Alexander Soerloth | 25% (2/8) | 10% (1/10) | Arnau Martinez |
| Nico Gonzalez | 50% (2/4) | 10% (1/10) | Azzedine Ounahi |
| Miguel Llorente | 17% (1/6) | 10% (1/10) | Thomas Lemar |
| Alejandro Baena | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Joel Roca |
| Antoine Griezmann | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Marc Pubill | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Iker Luque | 17% (1/6) | ||
| Thiago Almada | 13% (1/8) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Soerloth | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Cristhian Stuani |
| Nico Gonzalez | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Thomas Lemar |
| Ademola Lookman | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Joel Roca |
| Julian Alvarez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Azzedine Ounahi |
| Miguel Llorente | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Viktor Tsigankov |
| Alejandro Baena | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Arnau Martinez |
| Antoine Griezmann | ⚽1 | ||
| Iker Luque | ⚽1 | ||
| Marc Pubill | ⚽1 | ||
| Thiago Almada | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 90% |
1.5 | 60% | 50% |
2.5 | 40% | 10% |
3.5 | 20% | 10% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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