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Sevilla - Real Madrid: our prediction

17/05/2026•19:00

Sevilla

0:1

(0:1)

Finished

Real Madrid

Sevilla vs Real Madrid Preview — LaLiga

Real Madrid, the favorite, travels to Sevilla for a LaLiga clash. Statistics show both teams have defensive frailties, with a high probability of both scoring. Real Madrid has a slight offensive edge, but Sevilla is strong at home.

Our Sevilla vs Real Madrid predictions

Under 3.5 goals (per match)

Although both teams are expected to score, matches involving Sevilla and Real Madrid tend to stay under the 3.5 goal mark. Sevilla has seen under 3.5 goals in 80% of their matches, and Real Madrid also in 80%. A scoreline of 1-2 or 2-1 is the most likely scenario, which falls under 3.5 goals.

1.48

Confidence

High (65 %)

Over 1.5 goals (per match)

Both teams have a high probability of scoring at least one goal. Sevilla has seen over 1.5 goals in 80% of their matches, and Real Madrid in 100% of theirs. Combined with the 'Both teams to score' prediction, it's almost certain there will be at least 2 total goals.

1.19

Confidence

High (65 %)

Both teams to score

Sevilla have kept a clean sheet only once in their last 10 matches (cleansheetno: 9/10), while Real Madrid have conceded in 8 of their last 10. Both teams have a strong tendency to score, with a 'bts' of 60% for Sevilla and 70% for Real Madrid. The defensive frailty on both sides makes this bet very likely.

1.53

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Sevilla vs Real Madrid

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sevilla vs Real Madrid Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Sevilla	Real Madrid
Win	4 1 5	4 2 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	67%	86%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	50%
Win by being a favorite	50%	57%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	25%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	25%	0%
Win by being an outsider	25%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	70% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	50%	20%
2nd half	30%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Akor Adams	30% (3/10)	50% (4/8)	Kylian Mbappe
Neal Maupay	11% (1/9)	44% (4/9)	Vinicius Junior
Kike Salas	10% (1/10)	20% (2/10)	Gonzalo Garcia
Andres Castrin	11% (1/9)	20% (2/10)	Jude Bellingham
Nemanja Gudelj	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Brahim Diaz
Alexis Sanchez	10% (1/10)	20% (1/5)	Arda Guler
Oso	10% (1/10)	14% (1/7)	Federico Valverde

Total goals per player

	1	2
Akor Adams	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Vinicius Junior
Neal Maupay	⚽1	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Kylian Mbappe
Alexis Sanchez	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Arda Guler
Kike Salas	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Jude Bellingham
Nemanja Gudelj	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Gonzalo Garcia
Andres Castrin	⚽1	⚽1	Federico Valverde
Oso	⚽1	⚽1	Brahim Diaz

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	90%
Over corners 7.5	70%	90%
Over corners 8.5	50%	90%
Over corners 9.5	40%	80%
Over corners 10.5	20%	70%
Over corners 11.5	20%	40%
Over corners 12.5	10%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	90%
Over corners 3.5	80%	90%
Over corners 4.5	40%	60%
Over corners 5.5	40%	60%
Over corners 6.5	10%	40%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	90%
1.5	70%	60%
2.5	50%	30%
3.5	30%	30%
4.5	20%	10%
5.5	0%	0%

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