Kocaelispor - Fatih Karagumruk: our prediction
09/05/2026•19:00
Kocaelispor
0:1
(0:0)
Finished

Fatih Karagumruk
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1
-
X
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2
Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagumruk Preview — Super Lig
Kocaelispor hosts Fatih Karagumruk in a Super Lig match. Kocaelispor is the favorite but has very poor recent form with only 1 win in their last 10 matches. Fatih Karagumruk has a better away record with 2 wins in their last 10 away games. Both teams tend to score and concede, but Kocaelispor's matches are often low-scoring (Under 2.5 goals).
Our Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagumruk predictions
Under 2.5 goals
Kocaelispor has seen under 2.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches, and Fatih Karagumruk in 60%. Kocaelispor's poor offensive output (only 1 win) and the general tendency of both teams to play tight matches make this bet very likely.
1.74
Confidence
High (65 %)
Draw
Kocaelispor has drawn 40% of their last 10 matches, while Fatih Karagumruk has a 20% draw rate. Kocaelispor's poor form (1 win) and Fatih Karagumruk's ability to hold their own away (2 wins, 2 draws) make a draw a plausible result, especially if the match is tight as suggested by the 'Under 2.5 goals' bet.
3.23
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Both teams to score
Both teams have a 40% rate of 'Both teams to score' in their last 10 matches. However, Kocaelispor's poor offensive form and the trend towards under 2.5 goals make this scenario less likely. The attractive odds reflect this uncertainty.
1.8
Confidence
Low (40 %)
Market signals on Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagumruk
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagumruk Statistics
Win
Win | 1 4 5 | 4 2 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 33% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 33% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 57% | 57% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 29% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 29% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 40% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 40% |
2nd half | 40% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Serdar Dursun | 30% (3/10) | 44% (4/9) | Serginho |
| Daniel Agyei | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Bartug Elmaz |
| Bruno Petkovic | 50% (1/2) | 11% (1/9) | Anil Yigit Cinar |
11% (1/9) | Tiago Cukur | ||
11% (1/9) | Sam Larsson | ||
10% (1/10) | Shavy Babicka |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Serdar Dursun | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Serginho |
| Bruno Petkovic | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Sam Larsson |
| Daniel Agyei | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Bartug Elmaz |
⚽1 | Tiago Cukur | ||
⚽1 | Shavy Babicka | ||
⚽1 | Anil Yigit Cinar |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 8.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 3.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 70% |
1.5 | 40% | 20% |
2.5 | 30% | 10% |
3.5 | 10% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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