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Sporting CP - Vitoria de Guimaraes: our prediction

04/05/2026•21:15

Sporting CP

5:1

(3:0)

Finished

Vitoria de Guimaraes

Sporting CP vs Vitoria de Guimaraes Preview — Liga Portugal

Sporting CP, the favorite, hosts Vitoria de Guimaraes. Statistics show Sporting with average form (40% wins in 10 matches) but dominant at home. Vitoria is weak away (1 win in 10). Both teams score in 50% of their matches.

Our Sporting CP vs Vitoria de Guimaraes predictions

Vitoria de Guimaraes - Under 2.5 goals

Vitoria de Guimaraes has scored under 2.5 goals in 90% of their last 10 matches (9/10). Sporting CP also has a strong tendency to concede few goals, with 70% of matches under 2.5 goals for the opponent (underparou25). Combined with Vitoria's offensive weakness away, this bet is very solid.

1.5

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Both teams tend to play low-scoring matches. Sporting CP has seen under 3.5 goals in 70% of its matches (7/10), and Vitoria de Guimaraes in 80% (8/10). Combined with Vitoria's offensive weakness and Sporting's defensive solidity, a match with fewer than 4 goals is very likely.

1.67

Confidence

High (65 %)

Sporting CP Victory

Sporting CP is the favorite with odds of 1.24. Despite average recent form (40% wins), they dominate at home. Vitoria de Guimaraes is very weak away (1 win in 10). Statistics show Sporting wins 57% of its matches as a favorite (4/7). Sporting's victory is the most likely scenario.

1.25

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Sporting CP vs Vitoria de Guimaraes

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sporting CP vs Vitoria de Guimaraes Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Sporting CP	Vitoria de Guimaraes
Win	4 4 2	4 2 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	86%	83%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	0%
Win by being a favorite	57%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	67%	25%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	25%
Win by being an outsider	0%	25%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	50% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	40% 60%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	10% 90%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	40%
2nd half	70%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Luis Suarez	50% (5/10)	30% (3/10)	Gustavo Silva
Daniel Braganca	20% (2/10)	30% (3/10)	Samu
Morten Hjulmand	14% (1/7)	10% (1/10)	Oumar Camara
Hidemasa Morita	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Joao Mendes
Maximiliano Araujo	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Miguel Nogueira
Trincao	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Tony Strata
Luis Guilherme	14% (1/7)
Geovany Quenda	10% (1/10)
Eduardo Quaresma	10% (1/10)
Rafael Nel	10% (1/10)
Goncalo Inacio	13% (1/8)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Luis Suarez	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽3	Samu
Daniel Braganca	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Gustavo Silva
Rafael Nel	⚽1	⚽1	Oumar Camara
Trincao	⚽1	⚽1	Joao Mendes
Luis Guilherme	⚽1	⚽1	Miguel Nogueira
Goncalo Inacio	⚽1	⚽1	Tony Strata
Morten Hjulmand	⚽1
Hidemasa Morita	⚽1
Maximiliano Araujo	⚽1
Geovany Quenda	⚽1
Eduardo Quaresma	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	70%
Over corners 7.5	80%	70%
Over corners 8.5	80%	60%
Over corners 9.5	70%	50%
Over corners 10.5	50%	50%
Over corners 11.5	30%	30%
Over corners 12.5	30%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	80%
Over corners 3.5	60%	40%
Over corners 4.5	50%	20%
Over corners 5.5	40%	20%
Over corners 6.5	40%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	100%
1.5	80%	50%
2.5	30%	30%
3.5	10%	20%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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