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AS Jeunesse Esch - FC Progres Niederkorn: our prediction

17/05/2026•18:30

AS Jeunesse Esch

2:1

(1:1)

Finished

FC Progres Niederkorn

AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Progres Niederkorn Preview — National Division

FC Progres Niederkorn, the favorite, travels to AS Jeunesse Esch. Statistics show that Progres has a better win rate (30% vs 10%) and a more prolific attack. However, both teams have weak defenses, with a very low 'clean sheet' rate (0% for Esch, 10% for Progres). The match promises to be tight, but the advantage clearly lies with the visitors.

Our AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Progres Niederkorn predictions

Over 1.5 goals in the match

This bet is very strong. Both teams have an 'Over 1.5 goals' rate of 80% in their last 10 matches. Combined with the defensive weakness on both sides and the fact that both teams often score, it is very likely that the match will exceed this threshold. It is a very safe bet.

1.22

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Under 2.5 goals for AS Jeunesse Esch

AS Jeunesse Esch has scored 2 goals or more in only 30% of its last 10 matches (indicator 'parou15' at 30%). Furthermore, the 'underparou25' indicator is at 90%, meaning that in 90% of its matches, the team has scored less than 2.5 goals. Against a FC Progres Niederkorn that is the favorite and should control the game, it is unlikely that Esch will score more than 2 goals.

1.25

Confidence

High (65 %)

Both teams to score

AS Jeunesse Esch has seen both teams score in 70% of its last 10 matches, while FC Progres Niederkorn is at 60%. Both teams have very porous defenses (Esch has kept a clean sheet in none of its last 10 matches, Progres only once). The attacks are present, with Progres scoring more regularly. This bet is therefore very solid.

1.65

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Progres Niederkorn

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Progres Niederkorn Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	AS Jeunesse Esch	FC Progres Niederkorn
Win	1 5 4	3 3 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	67%	83%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	33%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	20%	0%
Win by being a favorite	17%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	25%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	100%	10% 90%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	60% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	60%	30%
2nd half	30%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2

Total goals per player

	1	2
Leon Elshan	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Omar Natami
David Jonathans	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Ibrahim Baradji
David De Sousa	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Kenan Avdusinovic
Liam Nurenberg	⚽1	⚽⚽⚽3	Bilal Hend
Emmanuel Lapierre	⚽1	⚽1	Thibaut Vion
Milos Todorovic	⚽1	⚽1	Mathis Camara
Tiziano Mancini	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%
Over corners 7.5	0%	0%
Over corners 8.5	0%	0%
Over corners 9.5	0%	0%
Over corners 10.5	0%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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