Hartlepool United - Southend United: our prediction
21/04/2026•20:45
Hartlepool United
4:3
(1:1)
Finished
Southend United
-
1
-
X
-
2
Hartlepool United vs Southend United Preview — National League
Hartlepool United hosts Southend United in the National League. Southend are the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.83, showing solid form (7 wins in the last 10 matches). Hartlepool, at home, is struggling with only 4 wins out of 10. Recent statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a low number of goals.
Our Hartlepool United vs Southend United predictions
Under 2.5 Goals
The statistics from the last 10 matches strongly support this bet. Hartlepool has seen under 2.5 goals in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). Southend, although more offensive, also recorded under 2.5 goals in 4 of its last 10 matches (40%). Furthermore, Hartlepool struggles to score (only 2 times +1.5 goals/team in 10) and home matches are often tight. The general trend is towards a low number of goals.
2
Confidence
High
Southend United Win
Southend United are the clear favorite (odds 1.83) with excellent recent form: 7 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 defeat in the last 10 matches. The team scores regularly (8 times +1.5 goals/team in 10) and has a solid defense (only 1 defeat). Hartlepool, at home, is struggling (4 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats in 10) and scores infrequently (only 2 times +1.5 goals/team in 10). The form advantage and defensive solidity of Southend should make the difference.
1.83
Confidence
High
Market signals on Hartlepool United vs Southend United
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Hartlepool United vs Southend United Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 2 4 | 7 2 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 60% | 90% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 60% | 70% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 60% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 20% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 20% 80% | 60% 20% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 40% 60% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Caton | 20% (2/10) | 50% (4/8) | Gus Scott-Morriss |
| Alex Reid | 20% (2/10) | 38% (3/8) | Andrew Dallas |
| Tyrese Sinclair | 11% (1/9) | 33% (3/9) | Charley Kendall |
| Adam Campbell | 13% (1/8) | 22% (2/9) | Keenan Appiah-Forson |
| Maxim Kouogun | 10% (1/10) | 22% (2/9) | Oliver Coker |
| Reiss McNally | 33% (1/3) | 17% (1/6) | Harry Cardwell |
| Matty Daly | 11% (1/9) | 20% (1/5) | Slavi Spasov |
| Jamie Miley | 10% (1/10) | 17% (1/6) | Leon Chambers-Parillon |
11% (1/9) | Sam Austin |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Reid | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Gus Scott-Morriss |
| Charlie Caton | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Andrew Dallas |
| Tyrese Sinclair | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Oliver Coker |
| Jamie Miley | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Charley Kendall |
| Maxim Kouogun | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Keenan Appiah-Forson |
| Reiss McNally | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sam Austin |
| Matty Daly | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Slavi Spasov |
| Adam Campbell | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Harry Cardwell |
⚽1 | Leon Chambers-Parillon |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 80% |
1.5 | 40% | 40% |
2.5 | 10% | 10% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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