Ponferradina - Merida: our prediction
04/04/2026•21:00
Ponferradina
4:1
(2:0)
Finished
Merida
-
1
-
X
-
2
Ponferradina vs Merida Preview — Primera Federacion - Group 1
Ponferradina hosts Merida in the Primera Federacion. Bookmakers favor the home team (odds 1.83). In their last 10 matches, Ponferradina has won 6 times and drawn 3, while Merida has won 4 times and drawn 4. Statistics show a tendency for low-scoring games and a solid home defense from Ponferradina.
Our Ponferradina vs Merida predictions
Under 2.5 Goals
The statistics are very clear: Ponferradina has seen under 2.5 goals in 90% of its last 10 matches (9/10). Merida also has a strong tendency for under 2.5 goal matches (60% over 10 matches). Ponferradina's home attack is modest (only 2 times over 1.5 goals per team in 10 matches). Merida scores little away. The combination of solid home defense and limited away attack makes a low-scoring match scenario very likely.
1.48
Confidence
Very high
Ponferradina Win
Ponferradina is clearly favored by bookmakers (odds 1.83). In the last 10 matches, they have a win rate of 60% (6/10) and do not lose when favored (5 matches, 3 wins, 2 draws). Their home defense is solid (80% clean sheets over 10 matches). Merida away has a low win rate (40%) and scores little on the road. No information on major absences was found. Form, league position, and home advantage point to a home win.
2.08
Confidence
High
Market signals on Ponferradina vs Merida
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Ponferradina vs Merida Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 3 1 | 4 4 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 80% | 83% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 60% |
Win by being a favorite | 60% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 75% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 60% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider | 60% | 25% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 80% 20% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 10% 90% | 70% 10% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 40% 60% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 30% |
2nd half | 40% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Slavy | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Sigurdur Bjartur Hallsson |
| Pau Ferrer | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Carlos Doncel |
| Eneko Undabarrena | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Javi Lancho |
| Andoni Lopez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sofiane El Ftouhi |
| Abdoulaye Keita | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Miguel Capitas |
| Vicente Esquerdo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Luis Pareja |
| Borja Vazquez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Victor Corral |
⚽1 | Benjamin Dibrani |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Tenerife | 58%(22/38) |
| 2 |  | Eldense | 50%(19/38) |
| 3 |  | Atletico Madrileno | 49%(19/39) |
| 4 |  | Sabadell | 46%(18/39) |
| 5 |  | Celta Fortuna | 46%(18/39) |
| 6 |  | Zamora | 44%(17/39) |
| 7 |  | Real Madrid Castilla | 44%(17/39) |
| 8 | | Ponferradina | 44%(17/39) |
| 9 |  | Villarreal B | 44%(17/39) |
| 10 |  | Antequera | 42%(16/38) |
| 11 |  | CE Europa | 41%(16/39) |
| 12 |  | Unionistas de Salamanca | 39%(15/38) |
| 13 |  | Arenas Getxo | 39%(15/38) |
| 14 |  | Algeciras | 39%(15/38) |
| 15 |  | Cartagena | 39%(15/38) |
| 16 |  | Barakaldo | 39%(15/38) |
| 17 |  | Real Murcia | 37%(14/38) |
| 18 |  | Hercules | 37%(14/38) |
| 19 |  | Pontevedra | 37%(14/38) |
| 20 |  | Merida | 37%(14/38) |
| 21 |  | UD Ibiza | 34%(13/38) |
| 22 |  | Lugo | 34%(13/38) |
| 23 |  | Racing de Ferrol | 34%(13/38) |
| 24 |  | Gimnastic | 34%(13/38) |
| 25 |  | Athletic Bilbao B | 34%(13/38) |
| 26 |  | Betis Deportivo Balompie | 32%(12/38) |
| 27 |  | Alcorcon | 32%(12/38) |
| 28 |  | CD Teruel | 32%(12/38) |
| 29 |  | Real Aviles CF | 29%(11/38) |
| 30 |  | CF Talavera de la Reina | 29%(11/38) |
| 31 |  | SD Tarazona | 29%(11/38) |
| 32 |  | Juventud Torremolinos CF | 29%(11/38) |
| 33 |  | Osasuna B | 26%(10/38) |
| 34 |  | Cacereno | 26%(10/38) |
| 35 |  | Ourense | 26%(10/38) |
| 36 |  | Guadalajara | 26%(10/38) |
| 37 |  | Marbella FC | 24%(9/38) |
| 38 |  | Atletico Sanluqueno CF | 18%(7/38) |
| 39 | | CD Arenteiro | 16%(6/38) |
| 40 |  | Sevilla Atletico | 13%(5/38) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Primera Federacion - Group 1
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Primera Federacion - Group 1. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Primera Federacion - Group 1 est l'une des compétitions majeures de Spain. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Primera Federacion - Group 1, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
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