Marseille - Nantes: our prediction
22/04/2026•18:45
Marseille
0:2
(0:1)
Finished
Nantes
-
1
-
X
-
2
Marseille vs Nantes Preview — Premiere Ligue
Marseille hosts Nantes in a Première Ligue match. Bookmakers have Nantes as favorites with odds at 2.05, against 3.05 for Marseille and 3.25 for the draw. Over the last 10 matches, Nantes shows stronger form (5 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses) compared to a difficult form for Marseille (2 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses). Statistics show a trend towards goals, with a high percentage of matches over 2.5 goals for both teams.
Our Marseille vs Nantes predictions
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Over the last 10 matches, 80% of Marseille's matches have exceeded 2.5 goals, and 60% for Nantes. Both teams have unreliable defenses (Marseille kept a clean sheet only 10% of the time, Nantes 40%) and attacks capable of scoring. The historical trend and recent statistics strongly support a match with at least 3 goals.
1.66
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Marseille has scored in 70% of its last 10 home matches, Nantes in 90% of its away matches. Defenses are leaky: Marseille conceded at least one goal in 90% of its matches, Nantes in 60%. Scorer statistics (Bourdieu 7 goals for Marseille, Toloba 5 goals for Nantes) confirm the offensive capability of both sides. A scenario with goals from both teams is very likely.
1.53
Confidence
High
Nantes to win
Nantes is designated as the favorite by bookmakers (odds 2.05). Over the last 10 matches, Nantes shows 5 wins against only 2 for Marseille. Furthermore, Nantes has won 4 out of 7 times when favored, showing a good ability to handle that status. Although playing away, its recent form and relative defensive solidity (40% clean sheets against 10% for Marseille) give it an advantage. However, Marseille's home factor and offensive potential make this bet less certain.
2.28
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Marseille vs Nantes
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Marseille vs Nantes Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 2 6 | 5 3 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 33% | 86% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 75% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 57% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 43% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 29% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 29% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 50% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 60% |
2nd half | 50% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mathilde Bourdieu | 33% (3/9) | 40% (4/10) | Mariam Toloba |
| Ninon Blanchard | 11% (1/9) | 33% (3/9) | Lucie Calba |
| Tess Laplacette | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Julie Swierot |
| Jenny Perret | 10% (1/10) | 22% (2/9) | Lea Khelifi |
| Margaux Le Mouel | 10% (1/10) | 25% (2/8) | Zoi van de Ven |
| Jody Brown | 25% (1/4) | 10% (1/10) | Louise Fleury |
| Melissa Herrera | 14% (1/7) | 10% (1/10) | Julie Pasquereau |
11% (1/9) | Maureen Cosson |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mathilde Bourdieu | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Mariam Toloba |
| Margaux Le Mouel | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Lucie Calba |
| Tess Laplacette | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Lea Khelifi |
| Jenny Perret | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Zoi van de Ven |
| Jody Brown | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Julie Swierot |
| Melissa Herrera | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Louise Fleury |
| Ninon Blanchard | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Julie Pasquereau |
⚽1 | Maureen Cosson |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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